Gallup Tracking Poll Thread [Obama vs McCain]

[Lief 🗽]

McCain had a lead once. Disappeared after a week or so, if I remember correctly.

[Keystone Phil]

McCain had a lead once. Disappeared after a week or so, if I remember correctly.

That lead lasted about two weeks. 

[Lief 🗽]

Ah, clearly McCain is the stronger candidate. I concede the election to you, good sir.

[Rowan]

I have revised my nightly results from Gallup after a change in my calculations(don't know for the better or for the worse yet ).

Last three nights(most recent first):

Obama 46%-McCain 44%
Obama 47%-McCain 47%
Obama 50%-McCain 41%

[Keystone Phil]

Ah, clearly McCain is the stronger candidate. I concede the election to you, good sir.

...

That wasn't my point at all but ok.

[Brittain33]

Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Obama - 47% (-1)
McCain - 44% (nc)

Not enjoying this week so much.

[Thomas Jackson]

Brittain beat me to it.

[Keystone Phil]

Things should be tied by Friday.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Obama - 47% (-1)
McCain - 44% (nc)

Not enjoying this week so much.

http://d.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/rids/20080915/i/r288450244.jpg?x=400&y=264&q=85&sig=.4wOq4XrAK2zyT3V0vrsuw--

[Brittain33]

Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Obama - 47% (-1)
McCain - 44% (nc)

Not enjoying this week so much.

http://d.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/rids/20080915/i/r288450244.jpg?x=400&y=264&q=85&sig=.4wOq4XrAK2zyT3V0vrsuw--

LOL.

[Brittain33]

Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Obama - 47% (nc)
McCain - 44% (nc)

If Rowan's numbers are correct, which is undeterminable, Obama had a very good night last night as he did with Rasmussen.

[Sam Spade]

Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Obama - 47% (nc)
McCain - 44% (nc)

If Rowan's numbers are correct, which is undeterminable, Obama had a very good night last night as he did with Rasmussen.

Actually no.  The last number he posted above would have dropped off yesterday.  Of course, that assumes that the numbers are, in any way, correct.

[Brittain33]

Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Obama - 47% (nc)
McCain - 44% (nc)

If Rowan's numbers are correct, which is undeterminable, Obama had a very good night last night as he did with Rasmussen.

Actually no.  The last number he posted above would have dropped off yesterday.  Of course, that assumes that the numbers are, in any way, correct.

I don't see how this disagrees with what I posted... for the numbers to stay constant at 47-44, last night would have to have been equivalent to the night which dropped off, which was a very good night.

[Verily]

Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Obama - 47% (nc)
McCain - 44% (nc)

If Rowan's numbers are correct, which is undeterminable, Obama had a very good night last night as he did with Rasmussen.

Actually no.  The last number he posted above would have dropped off yesterday.  Of course, that assumes that the numbers are, in any way, correct.

I don't see how this disagrees with what I posted... for the numbers to stay constant at 47-44, last night would have to have been equivalent to the night which dropped off, which was a very good night.

No, that night dropped off in yesterday's numbers, when Obama went down a point, not today's. The numbers that dropped off today were actually around a tie.

[Brittain33]

No, that night dropped off in yesterday's numbers, when Obama went down a point, not today's. The numbers that dropped off today were actually around a tie.

Aha. Thanks.

[pepper11]

Don't know about Rowan's Gallups numbers but his Rasmussen numbers are WAY off.

[Rowan]

Don't know about Rowan's Gallups numbers but his Rasmussen numbers are WAY off.

Umm no.

[Democratic Hawk]

Democrats Re-Establish Double-Digit Lead in Party Affiliation [23 September, 2008]

Gap had narrowed after the Republican National Convention

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110617/Democrats-ReEstablish-DoubleDigit-Lead-Party-Affiliation.aspx

Based on national adults (with leaners)

Democrat/Lean Democrat: 49%
Republican/Lean Republican: 39%

Based on national adults (without leaners)

Democrat: 35%
Republican: 26%
Independent: 33%

Among registered voters

Democrat/Lean Democrat: 51%
Republican/Lean Republican: 42%

Dave

[Democratic Hawk]

Did Palin Help McCain Among White Women? [24 September, 2008]

Obama's problem with white men much bigger than among white women

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110638/Did-Palin-Help-McCain-Among-White-Women.aspx

Preferences for the General Election

Weekly aggregate of registered voters

% among white women (% among all registered voters)

Sep. 15-21, 2008: Obama 45% (49%); McCain 47% (44%)
Sep. 8-14, 2008: Obama 40% (45%); McCain 51% (47%)
Sep. 1-7, 2008: Obama 42% (47%); McCain 49% (45%)
Aug. 25-31, 2008: Obama 43% (48%); McCain 47% (42%)
Aug. 18-24, 2008: Obama 39% (45%); McCain 48% (45%)

Preference for the General Election, Among Women

Aggregate of registered voters, Aug. 1-Sep. 21, 2008

Non-Hispanic white women: Obama 42%; McCain 47%
Non-Hispanic black women: Obama 91%; McCain 3%
Hispanic white women: Obama 53%; McCain 35%
Asian women: Obama 60%; McCain 28%

Gallup Poll Daily tracking

Dave

[Brittain33]

Thursday, September 25, 2008
Obama - 46% (-1)
McCain - 46% (+2)

No joke.

[Reds4]

Goodness.. These things are all over the place.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Thursday, September 25, 2008
Obama - 46% (-1)
McCain - 46% (+2)

No joke.

No, joke.

[Wiz in Wis]

Interesting... Dkos, Battleground and Rasmussen all move towards Obama, Hotline and Gallup to McCain...

Of course, today's state polling is all Obama so far.

[Aizen]

This election season is unreal

[Sam Spade]

Of course, today's state polling is all Obama so far.

Not really.  Lots of confusion.