KS: Research 2000: McCain leads by 11% in Kansas

[Tender Branson]

I think Obama could get about 42% in Kansas, with Sebelius as VP about 45% - if the recent polls are true. Just look at the 2004 KS polls and you'll see Obama is already doing much better than Kerry did at this time.

Interesting questions asked by Research2000:

If Barack Obama selected Kathleen Sebelius as his Vice Presidential running mate, would that you make you more or less likely to vote for Obama, or would it have no real affect on your vote?

More: 32%
Less: 29%
No Effect: 39%

Among women:

More: 36%
Less: 26%
No Effect: 38%

Among Independents:

More: 36%
Less: 24%
No Effect: 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President?

Approve: 37%
Disapprove: 60%

[Tender Branson]

45% in Kanas and Mississippi? Basically, 45% is the floor for Obama in just about every state? All this speculation is really, really agitating me now. Today I've heard Mississippi and Kansas could go 45% for Obama. Someone suggests McCain will break 40% in Massachusetts and the forum masses pounce "OMGZZ HACK!!!" It's not healthy to deal with 5 more months of this.

I think you're confusing "ceiling" and "floor."  playing around with the black/white numbers in MS suggests that in a best-case scenario Obama could approach 45% 47%.