KS: Research 2000: McCain leads by 11% in Kansas

[© tweed]

45% in Kanas and Mississippi? Basically, 45% is the floor for Obama in just about every state? All this speculation is really, really agitating me now. Today I've heard Mississippi and Kansas could go 45% for Obama. Someone suggests McCain will break 40% in Massachusetts and the forum masses pounce "OMGZZ HACK!!!" It's not healthy to deal with 5 more months of this.

I think you're confusing "ceiling" and "floor."  playing around with the black/white numbers in MS suggests that in a best-case scenario Obama could approach 45%.

[© tweed]

45% in Kanas and Mississippi? Basically, 45% is the floor for Obama in just about every state? All this speculation is really, really agitating me now. Today I've heard Mississippi and Kansas could go 45% for Obama. Someone suggests McCain will break 40% in Massachusetts and the forum masses pounce "OMGZZ HACK!!!" It's not healthy to deal with 5 more months of this.

I think you're confusing "ceiling" and "floor."  playing around with the black/white numbers in MS suggests that in a best-case scenario Obama could approach 45%.

No, I know what I mean. I am being overly dramatic, but still. Obama isn't getting 45% in Mississippi or Kansas. I will concede he could get over 40%, but not 45%.

the people in the MS thread came up with mathematical explanations of how it is possible.  just because you don't think it is pretty to think so, doesn't make it untrue.

[© tweed]

I'm just annoyed that when we have these polls showing Obama losing, we all sit back and try to find out what his best case scenario is and how he could win. Just ignore me for now.

we all have our difficult times.  I had one last night.  "Senior Cut Day" is coming up next week at my HS.  the whole thing just pisses me off.  I REFUSE to cut on Senior Cut Day.  it reminds me of a story my dad once told me about how he protested the Vietnam War in a short haircut, slacks, and polo shirt.  why?  he refused to wear the uniform.  don't think I'm averse to cutting school - I'm doing so tomorrow.  that's why it's 142am and sleepytime is still a long way away for me.  but when people try to do something en masse to be cool - such as Senior Cut Day - I get mad.  when a group of "non-conformists" grow too large they develop a code of rules just as rigid and arbitrary as the one the originally rebelled against.  so I'll proudly attend every class on Senior Cut Day.  so, yeah.  good luck sorting things out.  don't seek psychotherapy though - those people just f*** you up even more.  take it from me.  I'm experienced.

[© tweed]

we don't start until (traditionally) the day after Labor Day.  of course that does me little now that I am going to college by August 22nd.