SC: Rasmussen: McCain ahead by 9%

[Josh/Devilman88]

New Poll: South Carolina President by Rasmussen on 2008-06-05

Summary: D: 39%, R: 48%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

Wow. The negros must be fired up.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Obama has a chance to have a chance at winning South Carolina! He can make McCain spend money there!

[Flying Dog]

Where's Texas, dammit!

[Lief 🗽]

Obama has a chance to have a chance at winning South Carolina! He can make McCain spend money there!

Christ, you're grating. Do you have other websites where you can go act obnoxious?

[Kaine for Senate '18]

In theory, Obama could make McCain spend here.  It would be a mistake, but if Obama pours money into the state, then Mac might need to respond.

I still think the state is solid R.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Obama has a chance to have a chance at winning South Carolina! He can make McCain spend money there!

Well, McCain is appearing in television ads here now.
Supporting Lindsey Graham in the primary here Tuesday, that is.

[War on Want]

I think Obama could still get a decent result here, maybe up to 44 or 45% if he is lucky, but I doubt it.

[Eraserhead]

Where's Texas, dammit!

Yeah, I've have been wondering the same thing. There was supposed to be a Texas poll released at the same time as this SC poll from Rasmussen.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Obama has a chance to have a chance at winning South Carolina! He can make McCain spend money there!

Well, McCain is appearing in television ads here now.
Supporting Lindsey Graham in the primary here Tuesday, that is.

I have seen him in some Lindsey Graham ads here. A lot of them, actually. I am surprised he's running so many, but I guess that is to be expected with the primary coming up. I figure he'd be easily reelected.

[Keystone Phil]

but I guess that is to be expected with the primary coming up. I figure he'd be easily reelected.

As I'm sure you know, Graham is not beloved by the base down there.

[classical liberal]

but I guess that is to be expected with the primary coming up. I figure he'd be easily reelected.

As I'm sure you know, Graham is not beloved by the base down there.

I hadn't heard anything to such an effect; but, in any case, while 6% for Other seems a bit high, I am glad that someone finally polled SC (let alone someone reputable like Rasmussen; I would have taken a joke uni poll, at least it would have been something).  Here's to ND being next on the list (since it's the next most competitive state that Rasmussen has yet to poll at all this cycle).

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

but I guess that is to be expected with the primary coming up. I figure he'd be easily reelected.

As I'm sure you know, Graham is not beloved by the base down there.

Not after his immigration reform support. His challenger is running on the slogan "Because Lindsey Graham is TOO liberal for South Carolina."

However, I don't think he's in any danger of losing the primary or reelection at this point.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

It's not as if Graham has to worry about the General Election, so even with a relatively unknown challenger, spending the money now makes sense for him.

That said, the interesting primary battles Tuesday are the ones where the out-of-state pro-school voucher money is funding primary challenges to Republicans opposed to it.  Of course, at the size of the vouchers I've seen proposed, the proposals are actually a give money to rich parents program and not a get poor kids out of bad schools program.  A voucher that is so small that it won't even pay for the salaries of the teachers, let alone the buildings, supplies, and support staff, is just a gimmick.  I support real school vouchers of at least $5,000 per pupil, but not the let's send money to rich people gimmicks that have been proposed.

[Eraserhead]

but I guess that is to be expected with the primary coming up. I figure he'd be easily reelected.

As I'm sure you know, Graham is not beloved by the base down there.

I hadn't heard anything to such an effect; but, in any case, while 6% for Other seems a bit high, I am glad that someone finally polled SC (let alone someone reputable like Rasmussen; I would have taken a joke uni poll, at least it would have been something).  Here's to ND being next on the list (since it's the next most competitive state that Rasmussen has yet to poll at all this cycle).

Why is everyone so obsessed with them polling North Dakota? It's North Dakota.

[Meeker]

He can't break 50% here? Jesus

[Aizen]

In a 50/50 election, McCain would win more than by single digits. The reason Obama is polling well is because as of now, according to Rasmussen, the election is not 50/50. It favors Obama.

[classical liberal]

Why is everyone so obsessed with them polling North Dakota? It's North Dakota.

I want them to poll ND (and IN, DE, MD, and NJ) because there have been no recent polls, and (in the cases of ND and IN) the only polls available show Obama doing surprisingly well.

[Albus Dumbledore]

Doing surprisingly well doesn't mean winning.

[classical liberal]

In a 50/50 election, McCain would win more than by single digits. The reason Obama is polling well is because as of now, according to Rasmussen, the election is not 50/50. It favors Obama.

The national margin corresponding to this state poll was Obama +5, i.e., this poll says that SC is McCain by national margin + 14 points.

[Tender Branson]

In a 50/50 election, McCain would win more than by single digits. The reason Obama is polling well is because as of now, according to Rasmussen, the election is not 50/50. It favors Obama.

The national margin corresponding to this state poll was Obama +5, i.e., this poll says that SC is McCain by national margin + 14 points.

So, if Obama wins 50-48 nationally, he`d lose SC 55-43 ... Sounds about right.

BTW: They'll probably release the TX poll today, because they removed the announcement from the Daily Tracking story ...

[Padfoot]

I know favorablity ratings aren't an accurate measure of electoral outcomes but given that Obama has a +1 net rating as compared to McCain's +21 I highly doubt there is anything for Democrats to be celebrating here even if McCain is only pulling 48% of the "actual" vote especially given that McCain is still enjoying a 9-point lead.

[Adlai Stevenson]

My prediction:

SOUTH CAROLINA PRESIDENT -
54% (R) McCain
45% (D) Obama


I think Obama can do very well here due to a combination of high black turnout and the fact that McCain is not really beloved by state Republicans or conservatives. 

[Sam Spade]

hmmm...  I wonder who the undecideds/others are and how they'll break (rhetorical question here)....

[minionofmidas]

Looks about right.