|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 08, 2020, 08:11:05 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  KY: Survey USA: McCain stays far ahead of Obama
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: KY: Survey USA: McCain stays far ahead of Obama  (Read 2098 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,767
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 03, 2008, 08:48:27 pm »

New Poll: Kentucky President by Survey USA on 2008-05-29

Summary: D: 32%, R: 56%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Logged
kevinatcausa
Rookie
**
Posts: 196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2008, 09:48:55 pm »

Only 10 Kentucky polls so far. 

They'll have to do more than that if they want to catch Alabama.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,615
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2008, 09:50:11 pm »

PLEASE STOP POLLING THIS STATE. WE KNOW MCCAIN WILL WIN WITH 20+ POINTS.
Logged
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,601
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2008, 09:55:03 pm »

PLEASE STOP POLLING THIS STATE. WE KNOW MCCAIN WILL WIN WITH 20+ POINTS.

No... everyone I talk to in Kentucky is voting for Obama, and Kerry, and Clinton.  Bush... I mean, McCain is gonna be so surprised here.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,615
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 03, 2008, 10:04:07 pm »

The thing is, there are plenty of states that don't get polled enough, while a safe Republican state like Kentucky has been polled 10 times. States that have been polled fewer times:

Colorado- An undeniable swing state.
Nevada- Again, an undeniable swing state.
New Mexico- Ditto.
North Dakota, Montana, Alaska, South Dakota, etc.- Some polls have shown Obama stronger than normal in these states, but we've had so few polls, that it's impossible to tell.
South Carolina- Only one poll here, showing McCain only up by 3. I'm not saying poll South Carolina every week, but some follow up here would be nice.
Indiana- Polls showed this competitive in April, but since then we haven't gotten anything.
New Hampshire- Again, undeniably a swing state.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,053
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 04, 2008, 12:34:55 am »

The thing is, there are plenty of states that don't get polled enough, while a safe Republican state like Kentucky has been polled 10 times. States that have been polled fewer times:

Colorado- An undeniable swing state.
Nevada- Again, an undeniable swing state.
New Mexico- Ditto.
North Dakota, Montana, Alaska, South Dakota, etc.- Some polls have shown Obama stronger than normal in these states, but we've had so few polls, that it's impossible to tell.
South Carolina- Only one poll here, showing McCain only up by 3. I'm not saying poll South Carolina every week, but some follow up here would be nice.
Indiana- Polls showed this competitive in April, but since then we haven't gotten anything.
New Hampshire- Again, undeniably a swing state.

Maybe the polling companies are testing the key Senate race where Mitch McConnell might lose in a Dem year and are waiting to start polling general election presidential matchups  until closer to the time?

Personally, I agree that it would be preferable to see more swing-state votes, but financial incentives might be a cause here.
Logged
True Federalist
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,248
United States


P

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 04, 2008, 03:02:27 pm »

South Carolina- Only one poll here, showing McCain only up by 3. I'm not saying poll South Carolina every week, but some follow up here would be nice.

What makes it even more strange is that we have a primary here next Tuesday!  Granted, none of the incumbent Congressmen is expected to have any problems now or in November, but we do have some contested races to see who gets to lose to the incumbent in November, including the Democratic Senate race.  You'd think somebody would do a poll.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 04, 2008, 03:10:28 pm »

I know Oklahoma is going to be strong McCain, but I still wish people would poll us.  Our last poll was February 28.  They are polling other strong McCain states (and, in some sense, strongER) such as Nebraska, Utah, Wyoming, Kentucky, etc.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,767
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 04, 2008, 03:25:28 pm »

I know Oklahoma is going to be strong McCain, but I still wish people would poll us.  Our last poll was February 28.  They are polling other strong McCain states (and, in some sense, strongER) such as Nebraska, Utah, Wyoming, Kentucky, etc.

Maybe SUSA will conduct a 50-state-poll again in the near future now that Obama vs. McCain is set ...
Logged
Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,406
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 05, 2008, 11:28:41 am »

McCain should get at least 60% of the vote in Kentucky in 2008. 
Logged
The Ex-Factor
xfactor99
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,111
Viet Nam


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -6.43


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 05, 2008, 05:05:44 pm »

I know Oklahoma is going to be strong McCain, but I still wish people would poll us.  Our last poll was February 28.  They are polling other strong McCain states (and, in some sense, strongER) such as Nebraska, Utah, Wyoming, Kentucky, etc.

Maybe SUSA will conduct a 50-state-poll again in the near future now that Obama vs. McCain is set ...

I think that's what we're all looking for very soon..
Logged
auburntiger
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,233
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.61, S: 0.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 05, 2008, 05:09:45 pm »

The thing is, there are plenty of states that don't get polled enough, while a safe Republican state like Kentucky has been polled 10 times. States that have been polled fewer times:

Colorado- An undeniable swing state.
Nevada- Again, an undeniable swing state.
New Mexico- Ditto.
North Dakota, Montana, Alaska, South Dakota, etc.- Some polls have shown Obama stronger than normal in these states, but we've had so few polls, that it's impossible to tell.
South Carolina- Only one poll here, showing McCain only up by 3. I'm not saying poll South Carolina every week, but some follow up here would be nice.
Indiana- Polls showed this competitive in April, but since then we haven't gotten anything.
New Hampshire- Again, undeniably a swing state.

Maybe the polling companies are testing the key Senate race where Mitch McConnell might lose in a Dem year and are waiting to start polling general election presidential matchups  until closer to the time?

Personally, I agree that it would be preferable to see more swing-state votes, but financial incentives might be a cause here.

Yeah I remember when they did a slew of polls in Oklahoma in 2004, IIRC it was the closeness of the senate race there that was the reasoning behind polling it so much.
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,447
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 05, 2008, 05:24:33 pm »

The thing is, there are plenty of states that don't get polled enough, while a safe Republican state like Kentucky has been polled 10 times. States that have been polled fewer times:

Colorado- An undeniable swing state.
Nevada- Again, an undeniable swing state.
New Mexico- Ditto.
North Dakota, Montana, Alaska, South Dakota, etc.- Some polls have shown Obama stronger than normal in these states, but we've had so few polls, that it's impossible to tell.
South Carolina- Only one poll here, showing McCain only up by 3. I'm not saying poll South Carolina every week, but some follow up here would be nice.
Indiana- Polls showed this competitive in April, but since then we haven't gotten anything.
New Hampshire- Again, undeniably a swing state.

Maybe the polling companies are testing the key Senate race where Mitch McConnell might lose in a Dem year and are waiting to start polling general election presidential matchups  until closer to the time?

Personally, I agree that it would be preferable to see more swing-state votes, but financial incentives might be a cause here.

Yeah I remember when they did a slew of polls in Oklahoma in 2004, IIRC it was the closeness of the senate race there that was the reasoning behind polling it so much.

Of course, if you're calling people up to do a U.S. Senate poll, you essentially get the chance to do a U.S. President poll as well.  You almost have to—it's key crosstabs information.
Logged
Clamdick McClaw
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,076
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 05, 2008, 05:30:01 pm »

Kentucky is going to be UGLY for Obama.  The exit polling in the Dem primary was absolutely brutal for him. 

I really believe that this is McCain's best state behind Oklahoma.  65-34 McCain. 
Logged
HardRCafé
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,367
Italy
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 06, 2008, 02:34:11 am »

Better than Utah?
Logged
Clamdick McClaw
HockeyDude
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,076
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 06, 2008, 06:42:27 am »


I actually think so. 
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 63,030
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 06, 2008, 07:11:27 am »

The McCain number seems more realistic than in previous Kentucky polls. For what that's worth.
Logged
Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,406
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 06, 2008, 11:03:17 am »


I agree with you, probably...
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,053
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2008, 02:38:23 am »


Let's not get carried away with Obama's Western magic here... is he really going to crack 40% in Utah?
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,348
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 08, 2008, 10:32:04 am »

States that should be polled more than any others:
New Hampshire
Pennsylvania
Virginia
North Carolina
Florida
Missouri
Iowa
Wisconsin
Michigan
Ohio
New Mexico
Colorado
Nevada
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines