Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle (user search)
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Author Topic: Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle  (Read 851167 times)
bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #200 on: October 11, 2009, 11:00:29 PM »

I did change my mailing address, but I'll have to make sure they don't end up sending it to my Sammamish house!
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #201 on: October 13, 2009, 04:31:58 AM »

Only 29 more posts before he can join the PCP!
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #202 on: October 14, 2009, 06:39:58 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2009, 06:44:38 PM by bgwah »

Disturbing, but Hutchison is doing and saying all the right things. Of course, when she tries to get detailed she proves how she doesn't know what she's talking about (link), but the average swing voter (remember, swing voters are idiots who don't vote on issues) isn't going to realize that.

Personally, I still suspect Constantine will win, but Hutchison is doing better than I originally anticipated and I'll admit I'm worried.

For comparison, SUSA's early October poll for the 2005 race showed Sims beating Irons by 5, and in the end Sims won by 16.

By the way Bgwah, Larry Stickney himself was the No on Ref. 71 debater we had over here at Gonzaga. Remember this is the guy who has married three times, was accused of beating his wife and refused to send his daughter to college.

Haha, wow. But the hypocrisy "family values" figures is well known. For example, they say we need to "protect our children," and I'm left wondering "How many children has the average anti-gay bigot adopted?" Probably close to 0. You see, it's an abomination when an orphan is given a home with loving parents, but if they rot in some orphanage or starve on the streets? Meh, who cares! It's quite obvious that most of the "reasons" for opposing gay rights are a thin veil to cover their primitive cultist hatreds.
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #203 on: October 14, 2009, 10:27:06 PM »

Quite frankly, if R-71 is approved, they might as well legalize gay marriage since this is becoming a gay marriage vote even if it's actually only domestic partnerships.
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #204 on: October 15, 2009, 03:16:56 PM »

Ooh, I like the Bellevue skyline at the end there. Smiley
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #205 on: October 15, 2009, 09:55:23 PM »
« Edited: October 15, 2009, 09:58:29 PM by bgwah »

BAM: http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politicsnorthwest/2010073324_e-mail_constantine_was_prepare.html

Prepare for a depressing yet amusing Palinesque one term for Susan Hutchison followed by King County permanently turning into a permanent one party state in 2013... Wink
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #206 on: October 16, 2009, 04:46:01 PM »

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/editorials/2010079882_edit18exec.html

Could the Times possibly have more predictable endorsements?
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #207 on: October 16, 2009, 06:19:39 PM »


http://soundpolitics.com/archives/013411.html

lol
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #208 on: October 17, 2009, 03:12:08 PM »

Is this how Republicans feel about Obama? We think Hutchison is an unqualified crazy closet-creationist, while they think he is an unqualified crazy closet-socialist. Grin
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #209 on: October 17, 2009, 04:55:46 PM »

Hey, Tacoma area?  Getting optimistic about your housing market again?  Suck this!

http://www.thenewstribune.com/topstory/story/919317.html

Eww, maybe I should be glad Ladenburg lost.

Is this how Republicans feel about Obama? We think Hutchison is an unqualified crazy closet-creationist, while they think he is an unqualified crazy closet-socialist. Grin

The difference is we're right.

I agree. Smiley
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #210 on: October 21, 2009, 06:50:54 PM »

Ladies and gentlemen, Sen. Val Stevens' latest email to Reject 71 supporters.  Highlights:

Quote
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Yikes.

The Washington GOP is disgusting.
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #211 on: October 21, 2009, 06:53:39 PM »

SUSA, Seattle mayor (link):

Mallahan 43%
McGinn 36%

Among those who have already voted or who are complete liars (19%), Mallahan leads 48-44.

Mallahan, oddly, leads among all groups except for the young, liberals, non-college graduates, the working-class and Asians.

I suspect the precinct map for this will look pretty similar to the bag tax map.
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #212 on: October 26, 2009, 03:30:16 PM »

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hos_uIKwC-c&feature=player_embedded

epic
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #213 on: November 01, 2009, 03:49:46 PM »

http://www.thestranger.com/seattle/2009-election-nightmare/Content?oid=2594606

I love The Stranger.
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #214 on: November 03, 2009, 12:35:26 AM »

Definitely a few guesses that I could be completely wrong for on my county maps... The Portland media market in particular is always hard to peg.

Anyway, my I-1033 map. I say the vote goes 42.5-57.5


R-71... I say 54.5-45.5


SEATTLE MAYOR
54-46 Mallahan

KING COUNTY EXECUTIVE
54-46 Constantine
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #215 on: November 03, 2009, 03:24:06 AM »

My R-71 map is probably a bit more than a 9 point margin, but I dunno... I just made up a number for it. loololol
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #216 on: November 03, 2009, 10:42:52 PM »

18 minutes!! Grin
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #217 on: November 03, 2009, 11:06:43 PM »

First numbers in from Franklin!!

I-1033: 56-44 (in other words, dead statewide)

R-71: 30-70 (in other words, R-71 will probably be approved)
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #218 on: November 03, 2009, 11:08:29 PM »

Island is 53-47 approve for R-71.

And the elections website is...down? ugh!

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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #219 on: November 03, 2009, 11:09:50 PM »

Wow, R-71 is 40-60 in Spokane!!

ouch. Maybe I spoke too soon.
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #220 on: November 03, 2009, 11:11:32 PM »

Spokane is 58% no for 1033 and 60% reject for 71.

This isn't looking good for R-71...
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #221 on: November 03, 2009, 11:12:53 PM »

Grant is getting 42% in Franklin... Not too bad...
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bgwah
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*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #222 on: November 03, 2009, 11:14:41 PM »

YES!

King is also 65 No for 1033 and 66 approve for R71.
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #223 on: November 03, 2009, 11:21:31 PM »

Seattle Mayor is 50-49 McGinn...

John Curley is currently winning in Sammamish (Cry)
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bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

« Reply #224 on: November 03, 2009, 11:24:38 PM »

Ouch, and Laura Grant is gone.
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