Washington 2020: The Calm Before the Drizzle

[Meeker]

The perceptions, judgments and prejudices in my head are far more important.

[Meeker]

Do you have a Whitman map? That might be neat.

Also the Governor's race in Clark, maybe Goldmark in Okanogan

[Meeker]

No sleep till the maps are done!

[Meeker]

Don't know if you already know about this/whether it might be interesting at all, but there's a link on the Redistricting Commission's website to shapefiles for Legislative Districts: http://www.redistricting.wa.gov/

[Meeker]

Obama winning the 15th is just bizarre.

[Meeker]

Chelan has some... interesting precincts.

[Meeker]

I was bored, so I made some maps! They're not as good quality as Alcon's because I'm not a demi-God. And I switched red and blue to make them usable to the general population.

28th State Rep. Pos. 1 on top, Pos. 2 on bottom



The only sort of interesting things (although not unexpected) is Kelley doing worse in south Lakewood than Green - whether that was because it was Dooley's home turf or because it was Green's home turf is up for debate. Kelley also rocked the military parts of the district compared to Green (may have something to do with Kelley being in the military). Green lost 28-451 by 1 vote. It continues to be my least favorite precinct in the district (Giving Muri 70%? Really? I know he lives there, but you guys of all people should know what he's like...)

And now the painful one



Um, yea... ow. Srail doing better in UP than Fircrest (compared to an average Dem who would get 43% of the vote) is probably attributed to parents of her students.

[Meeker]

I was bored, so I made some maps! They're not as good quality as Alcon's because I'm not a demi-God. And I switched red and blue to make them usable to the general population.

Tip: don't use JPEG for images with large fields of even color.  PNG compresses such things better and doesn't introduce artifacts.

It's saved as a PNG file on my computer, but for some reason it switched it when I uploaded. I'll see if I can fix it.

[Meeker]

Images fixed.

[Meeker]

Are there any Democratic precincts in Adams County?

[Meeker]

OSPI! Bergeson in green, Dorn in yellow



It really makes a lot of sense when you break it down by precinct.

[Meeker]

Mind explaining that one?

Seems Bergeson did really well among old voters and areas that tend to like unthreatening incumbents...beyond that "gruhh?"

I'm planning to do a full-county SPI with King and Pierce, and maybe others if King and Pierce as a whole aren't boring.

Oh I have no idea what the hell it means - I was being sarcastic.

Older voters is somewhat of a common thread, although a few of those UP and Lakewood precincts aren't that old... I tried to piece something together on income but that basically falls flat when you look at the part of UP nearest to the water.

Nearly every precinct was >50% though, and most somewhere in the 50%-53% range, so I think which way a lot of these precincts swung was as close to random as election results can get.

Just a bizarre race overall.

[Meeker]

The Sixth was only 57% Obama? What did Kerry get there?

[Meeker]

Huh. I suppose Dicks' ritual pillaging of Doug Cloud's dignity gave me a false impression.

[Meeker]

What does "split" mean on the Municipality tab? I thought it was cities that were in two counties, but you've got cities that I know aren't (Steilacoom for example).

[Meeker]

How do they administer municipal elections when parts of the precinct are outside the city limits?

[Meeker]

I think most of the very small precincts are just sort of a side effect of having so many different jurisdictions. There's so many different boundary levels that the only way to make the whole puzzle work is making these incredibly small precincts in some parts.

Or maybe not because apparently they split precincts up sometimes.

[Meeker]

In a an early Christmas miracle, Jason Osgood has dropped out of the King County Director of Elections race and thrown his support behind Sherril Huff (the current Director by appointment). No one else has filed and there's been no peep from the Roach camp or anyone else. Filing closes tomorrow afternoon.

[Meeker]

Roach filed. Damn.

[Meeker]

Looking at Alcon's spreadsheet, is anyone else surprised by how well Gregoire did in the 5th CD and LD?

[Meeker]

LOL - David Irons filed for Elections Director. So much for the Republicans winning.

Also some guy named Bill Anderson filed. Anyone have any idea who he is?

[Meeker]

Two more candidates filed: Chris Clifford, a bitter community activist who is convinced that Sherril Huff is a fraudulent criminal, and Julie Kempf, who got fired from the job in 2002 and got in the race because "she was threatened by political opponents who didn’t want her to run."

This is a pretty easy decision for me. To quote Dwight Pelz:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Meeker]

Stupid question: Doesn't Sherril Huff live in Bremerton?

She's renting a house in Seattle as of last week.

A little self-serving, but considering the alternative candidates...

[Meeker]

Ron Sims is allegedly being vetted for a DC job. Expect a free-for-all of monumental proportions if he leaves.

[Meeker]

Apparently when they put a "NOT PUBLIC!" tab in their Excel sheet, they were hoping we'd go on the honors system.

Morons