Hey, we'll give you guys Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and New Mexico. Just give us Michigan and Pennsylvania and we'll be all set.
Yes, maybe that would happen if McCain led in Pennsylvania and led in a Michigan poll that gave him over 40%. Neither of which has happened recently (except for that Rasmussen that had McCain +1, a statistical tie.)
"Statistical tie" is a stupid euphemism for what's very much not a tie. We do not know which candidate is ahead at the 95% confidence rate; that does not make it a tie.
