MI: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 4
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  MI: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 4
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Author Topic: MI: Survey USA: McCain leads Obama by 4  (Read 3262 times)
Eraserhead
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« Reply #25 on: May 28, 2008, 05:18:03 PM »
« edited: May 28, 2008, 05:19:41 PM by Eraserhead »

This looks ugly to me for several reasons. Besides the sub-sample issues, does anyone else have trouble believing that Romney would give McCain this much of a boost in the general election in MI? I can't see why he would give him any serious boost at all, really. I would just expect he wouldn't hurt him as much here as he would in other parts of the country. The only place where I would expect a real Romney bump is the Mormon belt.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #26 on: May 28, 2008, 05:29:53 PM »

This looks ugly to me for several reasons. Besides the sub-sample issues, does anyone else have trouble believing that Romney would give McCain this much of a boost in the general election in MI? I can't see why he would give him any serious boost at all, really. I would just expect he wouldn't hurt him as much here as he would in other parts of the country. The only place where I would expect a real Romney bump is the Mormon belt.

Actually, he is quite popular there because of his father. He could give McCain a boost in Michigan and out west by drawing out the economic conservatives and Mormons. Hell, as much as I dislike Romney, strategically, he seems like a good pick. I just hope he isn't on the ticket.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #27 on: May 28, 2008, 06:24:24 PM »

This looks ugly to me for several reasons. Besides the sub-sample issues, does anyone else have trouble believing that Romney would give McCain this much of a boost in the general election in MI? I can't see why he would give him any serious boost at all, really. I would just expect he wouldn't hurt him as much here as he would in other parts of the country. The only place where I would expect a real Romney bump is the Mormon belt.

Actually, he is quite popular there because of his father. He could give McCain a boost in Michigan and out west by drawing out the economic conservatives and Mormons. Hell, as much as I dislike Romney, strategically, he seems like a good pick. I just hope he isn't on the ticket.

Sure... among Republicans. I'd be surprised if he didn't have very lacluster favorables among the general electorate.
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kevinatcausa
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« Reply #28 on: May 28, 2008, 06:49:10 PM »

The format of all of these SUSA polls (asking a the presidential first, then asking each vice presidential pairing afterwards) greatly overmagnifies the effect of the vice-presidential choice. 
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Flying Dog
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« Reply #29 on: May 28, 2008, 07:56:44 PM »

This looks ugly to me for several reasons. Besides the sub-sample issues, does anyone else have trouble believing that Romney would give McCain this much of a boost in the general election in MI? I can't see why he would give him any serious boost at all, really. I would just expect he wouldn't hurt him as much here as he would in other parts of the country. The only place where I would expect a real Romney bump is the Mormon belt.

Actually, he is quite popular there because of his father. He could give McCain a boost in Michigan and out west by drawing out the economic conservatives and Mormons. Hell, as much as I dislike Romney, strategically, he seems like a good pick. I just hope he isn't on the ticket.

Think again, oh wise one.
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