leading 2012 GOP presidential candidates as of early 2009?--May '08 edition
Mr. Morden:
In little more than six months, right after the '08 general election, this board will be knee deep in speculation over who will run in 2012. But why wait that long? I've already done a few of these polls in '07, but here's the May 2008 edition. Previously, I left it up to each poster to decide who they were predicting as nominees in 2008 when making their 2012 prediction. But now I think it's safe to assume that 2008 will be McCain v. Obama.
So, for the purpose of this poll, assume that Obama beats McCain in November. Now here's the question: In the spring of 2009 (just ~12 months from now), who do you think will make up the media-annointed "first tier" of potential contenders for the 2012 GOP nomination?
You can pick up to three names, but just to be clear, these are the people who you think the media and political insiders will regard as the initial "first tier". It doesn't mean that they'll be leading in the early 2012 polls, just as (for example) Mitt Romney was regarded as a "first tier" candidate well before he reached double digits in the national polls. (Likewise, George Allen would have been considered a "first tier" 2008 candidate in late 2005 / early 2006, but in his case his candidacy didn't go anywhere, for obvious reasons.) My picks are Huckabee, Romney, and Sanford.
Here are the results of this poll from March 2007:
(name, followed by # of votes)
Jeb Bush 13
Crist 8
Pence 7
Barbour 6
Pawlenty 5
Thompson 5
And October 2007:
Huckabee 24
Crist 14
Jeb Bush 11
Romney 11
Pawlenty 10
Sanford 10
I'll do this again in August/September, after we know who the two VP nominees for this cycle are.
War on Want:
Charlie Crist, Mike Huckabee, and Mitt Romney.
Frodo:
Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, and (maybe) Jeb Bush.
Can someone explain why Republicans turned to then-Texas Governor George W. Bush instead of Florida Gov. Jeb Bush in 2000?
MasterJedi:
Quote from: Frodo on May 10, 2008, 06:38:24 PM
Can someone explain why Republicans turned to then-Texas Governor George W. Bush instead of Florida Gov. Jeb Bush in 2000?
George W. Bush- in office since 1995
Jeb Bush- in office since 1999
That can pretty much explain it.
Frodo:
Quote from: SoEA MasterJedi on May 10, 2008, 09:39:45 PM
Quote from: Frodo on May 10, 2008, 06:38:24 PM
Can someone explain why Republicans turned to then-Texas Governor George W. Bush instead of Florida Gov. Jeb Bush in 2000?
George W. Bush- in office since 1995
Jeb Bush- in office since 1999
That can pretty much explain it.
Ah, yes, I quite forgot. That's why I asked. :P
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