IN: Survey USA: Clinton leads McCain in IN (user search)
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  IN: Survey USA: Clinton leads McCain in IN (search mode)
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Author Topic: IN: Survey USA: Clinton leads McCain in IN  (Read 2249 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« on: May 03, 2008, 11:15:43 AM »

Er... okay... That's strange.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,940


« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2008, 11:16:19 AM »

Obama also leads McCain 48 to 47.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2008, 03:47:12 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2008, 04:06:24 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

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Well, Obama and Clinton are leading. Also, Obama will have the money to spend in Indiana. McCain will not have the money to spend in Massachusetts. Obama will have the fired-up grassroots volunteer base to use in Indiana. McCain will not have that in Massachusetts. Obama (and even Clinton to an extent) have much greater opportunities for expanding the map than McCain does.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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*****
Posts: 44,940


« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2008, 08:59:48 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

You've been hit by
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Da na na na na na da na na da na na OW!
Well, Obama and Clinton are leading. Also, Obama will have the money to spend in Indiana. McCain will not have the money to spend in Massachusetts. Obama will have the fired-up grassroots volunteer base to use in Indiana. McCain will not have that in Massachusetts. Obama (and even Clinton to an extent) have much greater opportunities for expanding the map than McCain does.

Is there a state where Obama won't spend money? From the looks of it, he'll have enough money to run ads constantly in all 50 states--at least according to his supporters.

"Obama will have enough money to spend in Nebraska and make McCain fight for the state."

that said, an ad buy in Omaha has got to be dirt cheap...not that Obama should. He won't win Nebraska OR Indiana, though he will outperform Kerry in both.

By quite a bit, actually. I am guessing that Obama will run ads in states where Kerry got at least 44% of the vote and McCain will only be able to run ads in states where Bush got at least 49%.

Here are the maps-


Obama will be able to run ads in EVERY possible state he could, in his wildest dreams, win.


McCain OTOH-



Has to defend EVERY STATE BUSH WON

The REAL swing states this year-



Obama would probably be better served spending his money in Nebraska, the Dakotas, Montana, and Alaska, instead of Arkansas and West Virginia.

Really, ad buys in the Mountain West states are dirt cheap, and Obama really only needs to swing a couple thousand people to win some of those states, considering he's already polling at 45% or so in most of them.
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