IN: Survey USA: Clinton leads McCain in IN
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Author Topic: IN: Survey USA: Clinton leads McCain in IN  (Read 2177 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« on: May 03, 2008, 10:32:48 AM »

New Poll: Indiana President by Survey USA on 2008-04-30

Summary: D: 48%, R: 45%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2008, 11:15:43 AM »

Er... okay... That's strange.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2008, 11:16:19 AM »

Obama also leads McCain 48 to 47.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2008, 11:26:51 AM »

Things like this happen when candidates saturate the airwaves for a month and a half.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2008, 11:33:47 AM »

If Indiana is competitve for both Clinton and Obama... McCain is screwed
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Alcon
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« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2008, 11:37:38 AM »

If Indiana is competitve for both Clinton and Obama in November... McCain is screwed

Corrected Wink
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jeron
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« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2008, 11:45:04 AM »

This is clearly incorrect. There is no way a Democrat will win Indiana in November, even in a landslide.
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War on Want
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« Reply #7 on: May 03, 2008, 11:57:09 AM »

Things like this happen when candidates saturate the airwaves for a month and a half.
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Person Man
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« Reply #8 on: May 03, 2008, 12:35:28 PM »

Still though... McCain may have to spend money here....and if things don't get better, there's no chance in hell that he will win this election.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #9 on: May 03, 2008, 03:08:45 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #10 on: May 03, 2008, 03:11:34 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

We don't know what will happen in Nov. I would love to see MA vote for McCain and IN vote for Obama, but who knows.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2008, 03:47:12 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?
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Aizen
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« Reply #12 on: May 03, 2008, 03:50:45 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2008, 03:54:53 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

You've been hit by
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A Smooth Criminal

Da na na na na na da na na da na na OW!
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2008, 04:06:24 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

You've been hit by
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A Smooth Criminal

Da na na na na na da na na da na na OW!
Well, Obama and Clinton are leading. Also, Obama will have the money to spend in Indiana. McCain will not have the money to spend in Massachusetts. Obama will have the fired-up grassroots volunteer base to use in Indiana. McCain will not have that in Massachusetts. Obama (and even Clinton to an extent) have much greater opportunities for expanding the map than McCain does.
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Robespierre's Jaw
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« Reply #15 on: May 03, 2008, 06:31:08 PM »

LOL. Just like that poll suggesting that McCain was leading in MA.

Indiana won't be competitive this November, though if polls are like this come late October, McCain should be worried, just like Obama or Clinton should be worried in MA Wink.
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Sensei
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« Reply #16 on: May 03, 2008, 11:46:01 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

You've been hit by
You've been struck by
A Smooth Criminal

Da na na na na na da na na da na na OW!
Well, Obama and Clinton are leading. Also, Obama will have the money to spend in Indiana. McCain will not have the money to spend in Massachusetts. Obama will have the fired-up grassroots volunteer base to use in Indiana. McCain will not have that in Massachusetts. Obama (and even Clinton to an extent) have much greater opportunities for expanding the map than McCain does.
Why in the world would Barack Obama spend a cent in Indiana?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #17 on: May 03, 2008, 11:57:27 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

You've been hit by
You've been struck by
A Smooth Criminal

Da na na na na na da na na da na na OW!
Well, Obama and Clinton are leading. Also, Obama will have the money to spend in Indiana. McCain will not have the money to spend in Massachusetts. Obama will have the fired-up grassroots volunteer base to use in Indiana. McCain will not have that in Massachusetts. Obama (and even Clinton to an extent) have much greater opportunities for expanding the map than McCain does.

Is there a state where Obama won't spend money? From the looks of it, he'll have enough money to run ads constantly in all 50 states--at least according to his supporters.

"Obama will have enough money to spend in Nebraska and make McCain fight for the state."
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Padfoot
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« Reply #18 on: May 04, 2008, 12:53:53 AM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

You've been hit by
You've been struck by
A Smooth Criminal

Da na na na na na da na na da na na OW!
Well, Obama and Clinton are leading. Also, Obama will have the money to spend in Indiana. McCain will not have the money to spend in Massachusetts. Obama will have the fired-up grassroots volunteer base to use in Indiana. McCain will not have that in Massachusetts. Obama (and even Clinton to an extent) have much greater opportunities for expanding the map than McCain does.

Is there a state where Obama won't spend money? From the looks of it, he'll have enough money to run ads constantly in all 50 states--at least according to his supporters.

"Obama will have enough money to spend in Nebraska and make McCain fight for the state."

He's got to make up for the pittance the DNC has to spend right now in order to fully implement Dean's 50-state strategy.  Duh.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #19 on: May 06, 2008, 01:58:29 AM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

You've been hit by
You've been struck by
A Smooth Criminal

Da na na na na na da na na da na na OW!
Well, Obama and Clinton are leading. Also, Obama will have the money to spend in Indiana. McCain will not have the money to spend in Massachusetts. Obama will have the fired-up grassroots volunteer base to use in Indiana. McCain will not have that in Massachusetts. Obama (and even Clinton to an extent) have much greater opportunities for expanding the map than McCain does.

Is there a state where Obama won't spend money? From the looks of it, he'll have enough money to run ads constantly in all 50 states--at least according to his supporters.

"Obama will have enough money to spend in Nebraska and make McCain fight for the state."

that said, an ad buy in Omaha has got to be dirt cheap...not that Obama should. He won't win Nebraska OR Indiana, though he will outperform Kerry in both.
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Person Man
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« Reply #20 on: May 06, 2008, 08:54:40 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

You've been hit by
You've been struck by
A Smooth Criminal

Da na na na na na da na na da na na OW!
Well, Obama and Clinton are leading. Also, Obama will have the money to spend in Indiana. McCain will not have the money to spend in Massachusetts. Obama will have the fired-up grassroots volunteer base to use in Indiana. McCain will not have that in Massachusetts. Obama (and even Clinton to an extent) have much greater opportunities for expanding the map than McCain does.

Is there a state where Obama won't spend money? From the looks of it, he'll have enough money to run ads constantly in all 50 states--at least according to his supporters.

"Obama will have enough money to spend in Nebraska and make McCain fight for the state."

that said, an ad buy in Omaha has got to be dirt cheap...not that Obama should. He won't win Nebraska OR Indiana, though he will outperform Kerry in both.

By quite a bit, actually. I am guessing that Obama will run ads in states where Kerry got at least 44% of the vote and McCain will only be able to run ads in states where Bush got at least 49%.

Here are the maps-


Obama will be able to run ads in EVERY possible state he could, in his wildest dreams, win.


McCain OTOH-



Has to defend EVERY STATE BUSH WON

The REAL swing states this year-


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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #21 on: May 06, 2008, 08:59:48 PM »

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."
When did McCain ever lead in Massachusetts? Like in January when polls were even more ridiculous than they are now?

They were tied in mid-March at 47%

*McCain leads in Massachusetts*

"Junk poll. This state is far too Democratic to switch over or even be competitive. Obama will still break 60% in November."

*Obama leads in Indiana*

"McCain will have to spend money here and his chances are looking slim! He's screwed."

You've been hit by
You've been struck by
A Smooth Criminal

Da na na na na na da na na da na na OW!
Well, Obama and Clinton are leading. Also, Obama will have the money to spend in Indiana. McCain will not have the money to spend in Massachusetts. Obama will have the fired-up grassroots volunteer base to use in Indiana. McCain will not have that in Massachusetts. Obama (and even Clinton to an extent) have much greater opportunities for expanding the map than McCain does.

Is there a state where Obama won't spend money? From the looks of it, he'll have enough money to run ads constantly in all 50 states--at least according to his supporters.

"Obama will have enough money to spend in Nebraska and make McCain fight for the state."

that said, an ad buy in Omaha has got to be dirt cheap...not that Obama should. He won't win Nebraska OR Indiana, though he will outperform Kerry in both.

By quite a bit, actually. I am guessing that Obama will run ads in states where Kerry got at least 44% of the vote and McCain will only be able to run ads in states where Bush got at least 49%.

Here are the maps-


Obama will be able to run ads in EVERY possible state he could, in his wildest dreams, win.


McCain OTOH-



Has to defend EVERY STATE BUSH WON

The REAL swing states this year-



Obama would probably be better served spending his money in Nebraska, the Dakotas, Montana, and Alaska, instead of Arkansas and West Virginia.

Really, ad buys in the Mountain West states are dirt cheap, and Obama really only needs to swing a couple thousand people to win some of those states, considering he's already polling at 45% or so in most of them.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #22 on: May 09, 2008, 12:10:49 AM »

I think this is kind of silly.  Indiana is a DEEP red state, and it would be an absolute shocker if Obama can actually get the state.  Must I remind you that Bush won by 20% in the state?
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Aizen
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« Reply #23 on: May 09, 2008, 01:26:08 AM »

I think this is kind of silly.  Indiana is a DEEP red state, and it would be an absolute shocker if Obama can actually get the state.  Must I remind you that Bush won by 20% in the state?



Uh, okay, but this is OBAMA we're talking about
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Sbane
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« Reply #24 on: May 09, 2008, 03:53:17 AM »

I think this is kind of silly.  Indiana is a DEEP red state, and it would be an absolute shocker if Obama can actually get the state.  Must I remind you that Bush won by 20% in the state?


If Obama was smart he would lock up Pennsylvania and Colorado before he spent a penny in Indiana. But then again his performance in suburban Indianapolis was pretty impressive. Let us wait and see.
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