IN PrimD: Zogby: Obama/Clinton tied
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  IN PrimD: Zogby: Obama/Clinton tied
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Author Topic: IN PrimD: Zogby: Obama/Clinton tied  (Read 1727 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: May 01, 2008, 11:41:27 PM »

New Poll: Indiana President by Zogby on 2008-05-01

Summary:
Clinton:
42%
Obama:
42%
Other:
7%
Undecided:
9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

The demographic breakdowns in Indiana mirror what we have seen in earlier voting states, with Obama leading among younger voters and Clinton leading among older voters. A key middle-age demographic - those age 35 to 54 - now favors Obama by a 48% to 41% margin in Indiana, but this demo turned out to be a key battleground in Pennsylvania, which has a somewhat similar population make-up.

Obama leads in northern Indiana, a large section of which is influenced by Obama's hometown Chicago media market. In the southern half of the state, which features a population much like that of Ohio next door, Clinton enjoys a double-digit lead. Obama enjoys an 11-point lead among Indiana men, while Clinton leads by seven points among women.

After getting clobbered among Catholics in Pennsylvania nearly two weeks ago, Obama wins 41% support from Indiana Catholics, compared to 40% who support Clinton. Conversely, Clinton leads among Protestants by six points after having lost among them in Pennsylvania.

Nearly three in four in Indiana - 72% - said they held a positive overall view of Obama, compared to 68% who held a positive opinion of Clinton.

The statements of Rev. Wright have had more of an impact in Indiana than in North Carolina. In the Hoosier state, 21% of likely Democratic primary voters said they were less likely to vote for Obama as a result of his former pastor's statements.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2008, 11:45:12 PM »

Clinton will still win here ...
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2008, 11:45:53 PM »

Well, Zogby did nail Pennsylvania. Tongue
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2008, 11:47:38 PM »

The religious make-up is especially no.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2008, 11:56:18 PM »

I wish.

Obviously the religion numbers are wrong, not least because blacks are Protestant in most areas, but I don't think that sort of contradiction is a big deal in and of itself--small sample size means high MoE for those.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: May 02, 2008, 02:03:09 AM »

Obama is leading among Catholics. lol @ Zogby.
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