WA: Survey USA: Clinton +3, Obama +13 in Washington
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  WA: Survey USA: Clinton +3, Obama +13 in Washington
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Author Topic: WA: Survey USA: Clinton +3, Obama +13 in Washington  (Read 1228 times)
Alcon
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« on: April 18, 2008, 01:06:43 PM »

New Poll: Washington President by Survey USA on 2008-04-16

Summary: D: 48%, R: 45%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2008, 01:14:44 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2008, 01:54:19 PM by Alcon »

Key findings:

- Obama leads men by 7, Clinton trails by 7; Obama leads women by 19, Clinton by 14
- Young voters prefer Obama by 52 points, and Clinton by only 14
- Moderates prefer Obama by 36 points, and Clinton by only 14
- As appears to be the pattern in the Pacific Northwest, more Democrats abandon Clinton than Obama, but neither bleeds much

Solidity rankings
Solid Obama 43%
Lean Obama 9%
Lean McCain 9%
Solid McCain 31%

Solid Clinton 40%
Lean Clinton 8%
Lean McCain 11%
Solid McCain 33%

Nothing surprising here.  Moderate Washington suburbanites tend to vote Democratic unless they're given a reason to, and Hillary Clinton is evidently a reason.

Creepy SUSA graphic:

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Reaganfan
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2008, 02:50:31 PM »

WA will swing to McCain once Alcon's vote gives McCain Alconmentum!
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ChrisFromNJ
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E: -5.35, S: -8.61

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« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2008, 02:59:29 PM »

So much for another state that the McCain homers though the Straight Talk Express was going to put into play.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #4 on: April 18, 2008, 05:12:50 PM »

So much for another state that the McCain homers though the Straight Talk Express was going to put into play.

You know what I tend to notice? It seems as if campaigns generally don't make it on the northern coasts (Washington/Oregon) and (Maine)  as much as the rest of the country. I wonder if a good ad buy into Oregon and even Washington by the McCain Campaign can help his numbers. Still a decent Obama win though, IMO.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #5 on: April 18, 2008, 05:14:15 PM »

It's very strange that Obama is stronger in Washington that in what one usually considers "solid" Democratic states, like California, New York and Massachusetts.
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ottermax
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« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2008, 06:57:48 PM »

It's very strange that Obama is stronger in Washington that in what one usually considers "solid" Democratic states, like California, New York and Massachusetts.

Especially since there aren't that many swing voters in Washington. We are a very polarized state. That's also why a campaign by a Republican isn't very functional. Just look at our Gubernatorial races. I don't think there has been a Republican governor since I've been alive.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: April 18, 2008, 07:15:13 PM »

It's very strange that Obama is stronger in Washington that in what one usually considers "solid" Democratic states, like California, New York and Massachusetts.

The demographics are very good for him here.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2008, 01:09:49 AM »

It's very strange that Obama is stronger in Washington that in what one usually considers "solid" Democratic states, like California, New York and Massachusetts.

The demographics are very good for him here.

Obama wins educateds... Washington is home to how many high-tech, high skill professions.
Lather Rinse Repeat in Oregon
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