New Rasmussen State Polls (OH, NM, AK) Montana added

[lonestar]

OHIO
John McCain (R) 47%
Barack Obama (D) 40%   

John McCain (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 42%


NEW MEXICO
Barack Obama (D) 45%
John McCain (R) 42%   

John McCain (R) 46%
Hillary Clinton (D) 43%


ALASKA
John McCain (R) 48%
Barack Obama (D) 43%   

John McCain (R) 57%
Hillary Clinton (D) 32%

[Alcon]

OHIO
John McCain (R) 47%
Barack Obama (D) 40%   

John McCain (R) 47%
Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

Ow.

ALASKA
John McCain (R) 48%
Barack Obama (D) 43%

Wow.

[lonestar]

Yeah, wow.

Here is another wow!

MONTANA
McCain 48%
Obama 43%

McCain 54%
Clinton 36%

[Alcon]

I was just about to post that.  No kidding about wow.  And this is a state where Bush has a positive approval rating half the time.

Hope springs eternal that Obama will pull off a miracle and flip one of the random set of states he seems to do very well in (ND, SD, MT, AK, etc.)  Wouldn't it be funny to have a typical electoral map--except with a red North Dakota?

Edit:

269-269!

OK, I'm done

[Democratic Hawk]

Given these AL and MT polls, it would be interesting to see how Obama and Clinton are, currently, stacking up against McCain?

As for OH, Clinton isn't in that much stronger position than Obama against McCain right now; while both Democrats have gained ground in New Mexico on Rasmussen's previous poll (February 24)

Obama 45% (+1) - McCain 42% (-2)

McCain 46% (-4) - Clinton 43% (+5)

Dave

[Alcon]

Given these AL and MT polls, it would be interesting to see how Obama and Clinton are, currently, stacking up against McCain?

What do you mean?  Rasmussen also publishes a national poll.  You just posted today's update. 

[Democratic Hawk]

Given these AL and MT polls, it would be interesting to see how Obama and Clinton are, currently, stacking up against McCain?

What do you mean?  Rasmussen also publishes a national poll.  You just posted today's update. 

sh**t . I meant to finish that with ND and SD

Dave

[Tender Branson]

Montana is not half as surprising as Alaska. At least we can argue that Obama is in good shape there because of his recent appearance at a Montana DEM state convention. But Alaska ? SurveyUSA has also shown it close in both MT (47-39) and AK (48-43), pre-Wright.

[Erc]

Obama can get as close as he wants to in the Mountain West, but he still won't win there.  Nice waste of effort there...

[Sam Spade]

Interesting as always.  Problem is, much like McCain in MA, for example, a lot of these numbers probably represent his high point, not a point of gain, unless the race changes somewhat nationally.  In other words, the undecideds will break one way.

How many states has Rasmussen polled in yet?  I might be able to start to make a guess in national numbers using the weighting method I did for SUSA (even though the accuracy won't be as good).

[Aizen]

It should show that the electoral map is going to be different. Like, will Obama have an easier time in Colorado than in New Jersey? Hard to say.

[Joe Republic]

Obama can get as close as he wants to in the Mountain West, but he still won't win there.  Nice waste of effort there...

It'd hardly even be worth it, given the paucity of electoral votes out there.

[Democratic Hawk]

How many states has Rasmussen polled in yet?  I might be able to start to make a guess in national numbers using the weighting method I did for SUSA (even though the accuracy won't be as good).

This is a summary of Rasmussen's state by state presidential election polling:

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_presidential_race_state_by_state_snapshot

Dave

[Sam Spade]

So 28 out of 50.  Not enough yet for me to extrapolate, probably.

[classical liberal]

The MT poll was added as ending on August 4th, rather than April 8th (8/4 instead of 4/8).

[Lief 🗽]

O 270
M 268

[Boris]

Why do these westerners like Obama so much? Is it because they don't have any blacks out there or something?

[Ban my account ffs!]

Why do these westerners like Obama so much? Is it because they don't have any blacks out there or something?

Younger populations combined with less racial strife and the fact that Obama has kept his campaign pretty positive.. that sort of thing earns you major brownie points in the plains.