which cd is more likely to go gop in a presidential race?
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  which cd is more likely to go gop in a presidential race?
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Question: ....
#1
ma-08
 
#2
ms-02
 
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Total Voters: 10

Author Topic: which cd is more likely to go gop in a presidential race?  (Read 1245 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: May 26, 2008, 06:14:40 PM »

discuss.
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nclib
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« Reply #1 on: May 29, 2008, 05:32:56 PM »

MS-2. This could happen if the Democartic nominee had alienated blacks and they have low turnout. (I would bet the whites in MS-2 are reliably Republican at the presidential level.) There is no realistic scenario where MA-8 goes GOP for the forseeable future.
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memphis
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« Reply #2 on: May 29, 2008, 09:52:00 PM »

It would take a major realignment for either. The Dems would have to do something to really piss off blacks to lose MS-2. Blacks are such a reliable constituency that it's hard to imagine what it would take. Ditto for MA-8 only substitute liberal New Englanders for blacks.
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