|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 06, 2020, 11:46:07 am
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  virginia. (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: virginia.  (Read 18696 times)
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,058
Samoa


« on: March 25, 2008, 11:33:21 pm »

Ironically, the problem Obama will have in VA is the same area of the state that torpedoed Allen in 2006.  Life is kind of odd.

Anyway, I would predict that VA will probably be somewhere in-between +3-+5 of the national margin in 2008, depending on the candidate.  So yes, a VP from here could swing the state, maybe.

With McCain running, Virginia will be a least a bit more GOP than the nation, against either Dem. Thus I don't consider it a critical swing state.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,058
Samoa


« Reply #1 on: March 26, 2008, 12:02:22 am »

Leif, Bush won Virginia by 8% in 2004.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,058
Samoa


« Reply #2 on: March 26, 2008, 12:09:30 am »
« Edited: March 26, 2008, 12:13:33 am by Torie »

There is a growing distaste for good old boys in Virginia, who appeal to the hinterlands, without many voters.  If a pubbie seems to be retro in that way, it's curtains. Ya, they can do great in some of those counties out there around Roanoke and so on, in the "Fighting Ninth," but overall it doesn't pencil. Virginia is more and more coming to look like Florida.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,058
Samoa


« Reply #3 on: March 26, 2008, 12:15:18 am »



Also, I fail to understand why McCain has some huge appeal to Virginians that George W. Bush lacked.

I'm scratching my head at that too. Anybody care to explain?

Dubya ran about 5% better than the nation in Virginia in 2004, and McCain will match it. Heck if Bush ran again, he might run 5% better in Virginia than the nation, getting 45% there, while 40% in the nation.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,058
Samoa


« Reply #4 on: March 26, 2008, 12:37:16 am »

Regardless of who's running, does anyone want to discuss VA itself...like i discussed in my previous post?

Ya, I noticed that there was almost no agriculture in my view when I drove from DC to Williamsburg, and the landscape seemed very monochromatic, with the same lot of about three species of trees, all about 25 feet in height.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.1 seconds with 15 queries.