Obama's Long Ride Down - The Numbers (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 01:01:52 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  Obama's Long Ride Down - The Numbers (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Obama's Long Ride Down - The Numbers  (Read 22135 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,933


« on: March 19, 2008, 10:11:50 AM »

New thread title, same people, same comments...
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,933


« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2008, 10:20:20 AM »

New thread title, same people, same comments...

Stick around long enough, and you will be able to predict the order of the posters in each thread and their comments.  Smiley

LOL. I've spent too much time in the geekier low-traffic corners of this site.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,933


« Reply #2 on: March 19, 2008, 10:48:54 AM »

Lot's of front runners fail in the spring of election year. 

The examples you cited both fell in the primaries. That's statistically impossible for Obama at this point. We're talking about the general election.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,933


« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2008, 10:57:46 AM »

My position is that this will cost Obama the Democratic nomination.  Neither Clinton nor Obama will have 2025 delegates.  The super delegates will decide and go with Clinton  to win the general election after she wins decisively in the majority of the remaining 10 primaries.

Obama does not yet have the nomination.

Ok, fair enough.

I would respond that Muskie and Dean were felled for things they actually said or did, while Obama's problem is one of association. In addition, those both happened at the same time in the calendar year, but far earlier in the process. That was still in the Iowa-NH period, whereas most delegates have been assigned and Clinton would need to get a ridiculously high percentage of Democrats, something which does not appear to be happening following Wright. Finally, Dean was on his way out before the scream, that was just the nail in the coffin.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 14 queries.