Obama's Long Ride Down - The Numbers (user search)
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Author Topic: Obama's Long Ride Down - The Numbers  (Read 22606 times)
JSojourner
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*****
Posts: 11,510
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.94

« on: April 24, 2008, 06:49:15 PM »

I agree that WI was among Obama's best showing in the working class white demographics.  My point is that something has changed in Obama's draw. It is probably most pronounced among the church going.  Because the Catholic vote is significant in WI and PA, it seems a fair slice to examine.

It does not seem intellectually honest to continue believing Obamaa is as strong of a candidate as he was 60 days ago.  His negative numbers are way up.  He is not as attractive to working class whites, and white males, and church attenders as before. 

I couldn't agree more and it deeply concerns me.

This is why I wish more candidates lasted longer into the primary season.  Right out of the gate (Iowa), we lost the two best -- Dodd and Biden. 
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JSojourner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,510
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.94

« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2008, 12:42:29 AM »

I agree that WI was among Obama's best showing in the working class white demographics.  My point is that something has changed in Obama's draw. It is probably most pronounced among the church going.  Because the Catholic vote is significant in WI and PA, it seems a fair slice to examine.

It does not seem intellectually honest to continue believing Obamaa is as strong of a candidate as he was 60 days ago.  His negative numbers are way up.  He is not as attractive to working class whites, and white males, and church attenders as before. 

I couldn't agree more and it deeply concerns me.

This is why I wish more candidates lasted longer into the primary season.  Right out of the gate (Iowa), we lost the two best -- Dodd and Biden. 
Not really. They weren't much than John Kerry and arguably worse.

I can agree that Kerry was a poor candidate.  And likely, Dodd would have been too. 

But I think Kerry would have made a sensational President.  I am really surprised more Democrats don't think so.  There was certainly no one else in the 2004 Primary field with better credentials or sounder policy (from a D perspective, of course!).  Gephardt probably came close.  But again, I am talking about them as President.  Not as candidate.  Aside from Bill Clinton, I can't remember the last time Democrats fielded a decent Presidential candidate.  1968?
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