November - McCain vs Obama

[Sam Spade]

For a 50-50 map, this is quite reasonable.  I have some minor issues here and there, and a couple of other interesting tidbits I would include, but nothing big.

I can't see Obama winning Florida in a 50-50 contest, in fact, I would bet serious money against it.

So it would come down to Ohio and Pennsylvania.

[Sam Spade]

2000 and 2004 were pretty much the same dynamics.  Same battleground states.

2008 - as Michael Barone has stated, different dynamics.  Can Obama steal away Colorado?  Can McCain carry Pennsylvania?

Much more interesting election in my opinion.

Even Hillary would be much more interesting.  You take Colorado and Virginia off the table and replace them with the upper South and the Pacific Northwest.  I also suspect the upper Midwest will be more in play and New Hampshire probably flips.  PA probably goes off the table and Florida moves back on the table.

[Sam Spade]

Obama is black. They could of just stayed home, instead of vote for Obama.

In a highly contested Presidential election year (with a couple of highly contested seats to add on)?  I don't think so.

[Sam Spade]

So, they still probably voted. Thanks for proving my point.

Your point being?  They voted for a competent black man over a lunatic black man.  McCain is a lunatic black man?