SUSA about to release Clinton/McCain & Obama/McCain GE polls for all 50 states (user search)
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  SUSA about to release Clinton/McCain & Obama/McCain GE polls for all 50 states (search mode)
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Author Topic: SUSA about to release Clinton/McCain & Obama/McCain GE polls for all 50 states  (Read 6689 times)
Verily
Cuivienen
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Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« on: March 06, 2008, 12:54:12 PM »
« edited: March 06, 2008, 01:01:52 PM by Verily »

McCain-Clinton is a 276-262 Clinton victory.



McCain-Obama is a 278-260 Obama victory.




North Dakota is weird, but I've long had the suspicion that Obama might make the rural northern west a lot more competitive than it has been, tapping into the extraordinary anti-establishment sentiment there. (That's really just the Dakotas, Montana and Wyoming.) Maybe that's ridiculous optimism, but there you go.

Also, the usual caveats about polling certain states apply, NJ being the most obvious on these maps.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2008, 03:03:26 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2008, 03:06:50 PM by Verily »

I would say North Dakota is a tad less believable than New Jersey, but ok. Tongue

SUSA have been good with primaries but they've never been very good with GE polls. They're an indicator, but their national maps have always been a bit crazy.

I didn't say ND was more believable, but NJ has obvious caveats in polling that could explain results whereas ND does not. As usual, in this poll, NJ in Obama-McCain has the highest undecideds in the country, and you know where they'll go.
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Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2008, 03:08:29 PM »

No surprises for any of those on where Obama and Clinton do better than each other, except Mississippi and maybe Texas.
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