AR-University of Central Arkansas: Clinton beats McCain, McCain beats Obama

[Tender Branson]

Hillary Clinton: 51%
John McCain: 36%
Ralph Nader: 3%
Undecided: 10%

John McCain: 43%
Barack Obama: 27%
Ralph Nader: 3%
Undecided: 27%

http://www.ualr.edu/kuar/uca08report.pdf

[Tender Branson]

Nader getting twice of what he got in 2000 ? Not really ...

The poll mirrors the one from SurveyUSA:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=32b3487a-6bec-4a4c-a7f4-c57850828cd8%20

I think we can now agree that AR is Clinton-country.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Nader getting twice of what he got in 2000 ? Not really ...

The poll mirrors the one from SurveyUSA:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=32b3487a-6bec-4a4c-a7f4-c57850828cd8%20

I think we can now agree that AR is Clinton-country.

Safer to call it McCain-country, since Clinton isn't winning the nomination...

[Meeker]

It'd be nice to get those 6 EV's... but there's more benefit to nominating Obama.

What are the chances Arkansas would go for an Obama/Clinton ticket?

[Tender Branson]

Nader getting twice of what he got in 2000 ? Not really ...

The poll mirrors the one from SurveyUSA:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=32b3487a-6bec-4a4c-a7f4-c57850828cd8%20

I think we can now agree that AR is Clinton-country.

Safer to call it McCain-country, since Clinton isn't winning the nomination...

Right. Considering that March was 50-50 in delegates and if this trend continues until June, you are right. Obama "just" need to win 50% of all remaining pledged delegates and 50% of all superdelegates to clinch the nomination.

[auburntiger]

It'd be nice to get those 6 EV's... but there's more benefit to nominating Obama.

What are the chances Arkansas would go for an Obama/Clinton ticket?

Zilch. People vote for the top of the ticket, not the VP. But it doesn't matter since Obama wouldn't pick Hillary

[Meeker]

It'd be nice to get those 6 EV's... but there's more benefit to nominating Obama.

What are the chances Arkansas would go for an Obama/Clinton ticket?

Zilch. People vote for the top of the ticket, not the VP. But it doesn't matter since Obama wouldn't pick Hillary

I usually always agree that VP doesn't have any regional influence... but this is a Clinton in Arkansas we're talking about here.

You're right he likely won't pick her thought, so it's irrelevant.

[Democratic Hawk]

Not particularly surprising

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

No surprise. And the only way the dream ticket happens is if it's a Clinton/Obama ticket. No way she joins on as #2. Arkansas is like Tennessee, Kentucky, Florida and West Virginia. They are in play with Clinton, but GOP blowouts with Obama.

[exopolitician]

I like how theres a high amount of undecideds with the McCain/Obama matchup

[agcatter]

One disadvantage of nominating Obama is obviously that Dems won't pick up Arkansas as they would with Hillary.  Any chance of Dems being competitive in W Virginia is also dashed.

Of course, Obama supporters would say Obama puts Colorado in play.  Some say Virginia, but I'm not buying that one.

[Sam Spade]

Wow, Clinton will win Arkansas and Obama will lose Arkansas.  This is news...

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

One disadvantage of nominating Obama is obviously that Dems won't pick up Arkansas as they would with Hillary.  Any chance of Dems being competitive in W Virginia is also dashed.

Of course, Obama supporters would say Obama puts Colorado in play.  Some say Virginia, but I'm not buying that one.

Arkansas will Hillary is the one sure thing of a state flipping that we could get in this election. No poll with her versus McCain has been close. Obama makes Iowa, Colorado, Virginia, and Nevada close, but here is no guarantee that they will flip.