From my blog (
http://inkslwc.wordpress.com/2008/02/24/prediction-for-the-republican-caucus-in-puerto-rico/):
OK, the territorial caucus for Puerto Rico is today, and since McCain will most likely receive 2/3 of the votes, he’ll receive all 20 delegates (they have 3 more RNC delegates); however, if he doesn’t reach the 2/3 mark:
If 3 candidates reach the 15% mark, delegates will be awarded 10,6, and 4 respectively.
If 2 candidates reach the 15% mark, delegates will be awarded 13 and 7 respectively.
So, here’s my prediction:
McCain 72%
Romney 13%
Huckabee 12%
Paul 3%
At this point, we just need to all back John McCain - he’s our nominee, but I think that some of Romney’s support (since he did raise a decent amount of money there) will stick with him a little, and Huckabee will get some help for being the last legit candidate. Ron Paul barely raised any money there though, so I don’t think he’ll do well at all.
If nobody's paying attention on the forum to the results, I'll have updates on my blog as always
