NM-SurveyUSA: Obama leads McCain by 15%
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Author Topic: NM-SurveyUSA: Obama leads McCain by 15%  (Read 876 times)
TheresNoMoney
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« on: February 22, 2008, 12:32:40 PM »
2/15-2/17, 506 Registered Voters, +/- 4.4% MOE

Obama   55%
McCain   40%

Clinton   50%
McCain    45%

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2008, 09:05:55 PM »
That seems high.
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CultureKing
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« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2008, 10:21:48 PM »

agreed. It would be weird to me if McCain lost much in the Mountain Southwest (I do think there is a bit of a regional thing for McCain)
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ottermax
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« Reply #3 on: February 22, 2008, 11:49:35 PM »
Regionalism didn't really help in Nevada or Colorado...
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Person Man
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« Reply #4 on: February 23, 2008, 01:31:16 PM »
Yeah. McCain seems to not really be liked in the reigion though he is a populist on racial and reigional issues. - and that could be it. The SW doesn't like populists.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #5 on: February 23, 2008, 02:59:49 PM »
Quote from: Angry Weasel on February 23, 2008, 01:31:16 PM
Yeah. McCain seems to not really be liked in the reigion though he is a populist on racial and reigional issues. - and that could be it. The SW doesn't like populists.

...which must be why they love Obama? New Mexico is a state where Obama has consistently polled poorly before. And given the other SUSA polls they seem to have no idea what they're doing. They're never been that good with GE polls anyway.
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Aizen
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« Reply #6 on: February 23, 2008, 03:43:23 PM »
I would wager it is his immigration stance
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Gustaf
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« Reply #7 on: February 23, 2008, 03:52:59 PM »
Quote from: Aizen on February 23, 2008, 03:43:23 PM
I would wager it is his immigration stance

Given Obama's and Bush's history with Hispanic voters I would guess New Mexico would be one of the few places where McCain could benefit from his immigration stance.
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Alcon
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« Reply #8 on: February 23, 2008, 04:00:49 PM »
« Edited: February 23, 2008, 04:05:31 PM by Alcon »
This seems to be a more Democratic-leaning poll than others, but Obama has been matching Clinton in New Mexico for a while now.  That part isn't entirely implausible.  But New Mexico won't be a 15-point state this fall.

Edit: McCain leads Obama among Evangelicals by 9?  heh.
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