Fidel Castro and the 2008 US Presidential Race

[Joe Biden 2020]

I really have no idea who it will help.

[Angel of Death]

Most likely, no one. If I had to choose one person, I would have to say John McCain based on the far-fetched reasoning that some Cuban-Americans would perhaps like some "action" to be taken in order to "seize the moment", but that's *really* stretching it.

[opebo]

No effect on any candidate, though it is obviously a step down the inevitable road to destruction for the Cuban people.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

The only state that this could possibly affect is Florida, and I don't see how it would help/hurt any of the candidates.

[minionofmidas]

Groundless excitement about potential changes in Cuba will obviously help John McCain win Florida by a slightly larger margin than he otherwise would.

[exopolitician]

I dunno who it'll benefit, but alot has happened in the world the past few days. Its kinda odd :X

[MODU]

Odds are that it would help McCain, but it will really depend on how the candidates address it today, not only with "this is a chance for change..." but with a detailed plan on how to do it.  And with the frontrunner's all being in Congress right now, they need to present something by tomorrow for action to show that they have forseen this day coming and were prepared.

[Reaganfan]

Odds are that it would help McCain, but it will really depend on how the candidates address it today, not only with "this is a chance for change..." but with a detailed plan on how to do it.  And with the frontrunner's all being in Congress right now, they need to present something by tomorrow for action to show that they have forseen this day coming and were prepared.

That is funny...the election where Congress has a near 10% approval rating....a person from Congress is elected President.

[exopolitician]

Pervez Musharraf's party was defeated in the Parliamentary elections today. Will this benefit anyone ontop of Castro's resignation?

[MODU]

Pervez Musharraf's party was defeated in the Parliamentary elections today. Will this benefit anyone ontop of Castro's resignation?

No, since Musharraf still (currently) retains power, and Pakistan will continue to be an ally of the US.

[MODU]

Odds are that it would help McCain, but it will really depend on how the candidates address it today, not only with "this is a chance for change..." but with a detailed plan on how to do it.  And with the frontrunner's all being in Congress right now, they need to present something by tomorrow for action to show that they have forseen this day coming and were prepared.

That is funny...the election where Congress has a near 10% approval rating....a person from Congress is elected President.

Which goes back to my belief that we have a terrible crop of candidates this year. 

[Duke 🇺🇸]

it obviously helps obama because he can now spread his message of hope and change to the Cuban people.

But cubans are racist for the most part and vote republican anyway

[TheGlobalizer]

Obama.  It's an opening for engagement with Raul Castro, and a carefully constructed pro-democracy message is a winner for him.  McCain's foreign policy hawkishness will sound like the same old story of the past 50, IMHO.

[True Democrat]

Obama's position on Cuba is actually one I favor over all the other candidates.

[Sensei]

it obviously helps obama because he can now spread his message of hope and change to the Cuban people.

But cubans are racist for the most part and vote republican anyway

I can attest. I'm from miami.

[TheGlobalizer]

Yeah, I don't think Obama's getting the Cuban vote.  The issue is bigger than Miami, tho, and a lot of people are beginning to realize this sanctions crap just doesn't work.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Probably McCain, but I don't see how it helps any one candidate.  It probably hurts the GOP in Florida, since the Cubans are less likely to vote.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

If November has Obama v. McCain, no effect.

If the Florida Dems do a revote to get some delegates, a mild plus for Obama. (0.1% at best)

If November has Clinton v. McCain, 0.2 to 0.5% plus for McCain.

Thanks to Elián González, anything that stirs up Little Havana has to be considered a negative for Hillary.