How many terms will the 44th President serve?

[Reaganfan]

I expect after Obama rids the world of poverty and fixes every problem America has, he'll be elected to a life term until he dies. Just my guess.

We can only hope, my friend.

You people are sick...

[Keystone Phil]

I expect after Obama rids the world of poverty and fixes every problem America has, he'll be elected to a life term until he dies. Just my guess.

We can only hope, my friend.

LOL  Obama would never "die." And you call yourself a supporter...

[falling apart like the ashes of American flags]

I hope Obama is our President as long as Castro was for Cuba.

[MarkWarner08]

McCain will serve one term. My early prediction is that he'll either lose in 2012 or hand the GOP nomination to Pawlenty/Sanford.

[Moooooo]

If you think you know the answer to this question, I have a piece ocean front in Arizona I'd like to sell you.

[Reluctant Republican]

I'd say there's a greater then 50 percent shot that our next president will be a one termer, especially if it's John McCain. But Even Obama or Clinton could be vulnerable, mainly because I expect the economy to worsen and I remain pessimistic that anyone can solve those woes. However, I’m not willing to bet my own life on this.

[Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred]

McCain - 1 term
Hillary - 2 terms
Obama - 2 terms

[War on Want]

McCain - 1 term
Hillary - 2 terms
Obama - 2 terms

[Wakie]

Historically speaking it seems highly unlikely that POTUS 44 will serve 2 complete terms.  There haven't been 3 Presidents who each served 2 complete terms since Jefferson/Madison/Monroe.  And considering the volatile state of the country who becomes POTUS will have to make some tough decisions which are bound to alienate some.

[Sam Spade]

Historically speaking it seems highly unlikely that POTUS 44 will serve 2 complete terms.  There haven't been 3 Presidents who each served 2 complete terms since Jefferson/Madison/Monroe.  And considering the volatile state of the country who becomes POTUS will have to make some tough decisions which are bound to alienate some.

If I were to make any prediction (and be completely wrong), I would tend to agree with this.  However, one might say the 1952-1976 *should have been* that scenario, but I wonder about 1964 if Kennedy doesn't get killed.

[Lief 🗽]

But the phenomenon Wakie brings up is complicated by deaths and resignations (Nixon) and running for more than 2 terms (FDR). Now, three parties holding the Presidency for 8 years isn't that rare as three presidents. I don't think there's necessarily anything historical preventing 44 from being re-elected, though there may be something historical that would make it more likely for 44 to resign or die or not run again.

[Wakie]

All I was saying is that it is historically improbable.  Perhaps we get McCain in office and he has a heart attack.  Maybe we get Obama and some white supremicist takes a shot at him.  Maybe its Hillary and in 4 years the GOP mount a strong comeback campaign and beat her.

Historically tragedies, scandals, and poor performing Presidents strike at least once every 24 years.

[Speed of Sound]

Historically tragedies, scandals, and poor performing Presidents strike at least once every 24 years.

But thats been the case in America for 30+ years straight!