Republican Delegate Math (Question included)
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  Republican Delegate Math (Question included)
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« on: February 14, 2008, 09:10:10 PM »

Will Romney's endorsement of McCain and plea for his delegates to go to McCain cause them to actually do so?

If they do, then its very possible that he could clinch the nomination officially by this coming Tuesday.   Currently, John McCain has 827 delegates.  Romney has 286 delegates.  If you add those together he has 1,113 which is 78 shy of the magic number of 1,191.  Louisiana has 20 pledged and 7 supers to give out at their state party convention this Saturday.  Say he wins all 20, that puts him at 1,133, 58 shy.  Washington State has another 19 pledged delegates to dish out at their primaries on Tuesday.  If he wins all those, that puts him at 1,152 (39 shy).  Wisconsin has 37 pledged and 3 supers available.  If he wins all 37, that would put him at 1,189, leaving him to only need 2 super delegates from any state to come his way to give him the nomination.

Now, I don't know which of the three states, if any, are WTA and this is assuming they are.  If they are not, then he is guaranteed he will clinch it on March 4, even if he loses all four states.

Your thoughts would be very welcome.
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Lincoln Republican
Winfield
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« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2008, 12:25:23 AM »

Romney's endorsement is certainly beneficial to McCain.

Romney won caucuses, primaries, and millions of votes in the campaign.

McCain should secure the nomination outright sometime in March, leaving him free to unite the party, and to campaign full time for the Presidency, while Obama and Clinton are still battling each other tooth and nail to the convention, in a potentially bitterly divisive campaign.

McCain should go with Romney for VP. 
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #2 on: February 15, 2008, 01:20:05 AM »
« Edited: February 15, 2008, 01:21:54 AM by strangeland »

Romney's endorsement is certainly beneficial to McCain.

Romney won caucuses, primaries, and millions of votes in the campaign.

McCain should secure the nomination outright sometime in March, leaving him free to unite the party, and to campaign full time for the Presidency, while Obama and Clinton are still battling each other tooth and nail to the convention, in a potentially bitterly divisive campaign.

McCain should go with Romney for VP. 

Romney would terrible VP: he's stiff, overly slick, and not likeable; living proof that you cannot buy an election.

And anyway I highly doubt Clinton vs Obama will go to the convention: Clinton will run out of money at some point, and my guess is that she'll drop out or suspend her campaign sometime in April or May after she loses court challenges to seat the FL and MI delegations and the superdelegates defect en masse. Even if she doesn't, it will be clear to everyone that she won't be the nominee, so Obama will be free to swing into general election mode.

caveat: all this is dependent on Obama winning the WI primary and HI caucus. If he loses one or both, Hillary becomes the heavy favorite to win the nomination.
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