True or False Set 1

[PGSable]

1. If Obama is the nominee, the Bradley Effect could cost him the election (sorry)
True but unlikely

2. If McCain holds on to be the nominee, he will lose in november mainly because the hard right sits out to spite him/wait for better chances in 2012.
False

3. If McCain holds on to be the nominee, he will lose in November mainly because of his war stance
False

4. If Obama is the nominee, does the Clinton faction sit out/go half hearted to allow Hillary to play savior in 2012.
True

5a. If your answer to 4 is true, does it cost Obama the election
No

5b. If your answer to 4 is false, does it cause the hard right to get behind McCain because of the strength of Obama's campaign and the reprocussions (ie SCOTUS picks, healthcare etc)

6. If Clinton is the nominee,  the hard right, generally, comes back to support mccain in an anyone but clinton fashion
True

7. McCain Defeats Clinton
False

8. McCain Defeats Obama
False

9. Huckabee will be McCain's VP
False

10. Rendell will be Obama's VP
False

11. Edwards will be Clinton's VP
False

12. Edwards will be Obama's VP
False

13. A Southerner will be McCain's VP
True

14. Romney will be McCain's VP
False

15. If Obama is the nominee, Bloomberg mounts a 3rd party campaign
False

16. If Clinton is the nominee, Bloomberg mounts a 3rd party campaign
False

17. Obama will do better in Vermont than he will in Massachusetts
True

18. McCain will do better in Pennsylvania than in Ohio
False

19. McCain will win New Hampshire
False

20. Clinton will win Florida
False

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

1. If Obama is the nominee, the Bradley Effect could cost him the election - False - see Boss Tweed's answer.
2. If McCain holds on to be the nominee, he will lose in november mainly because the hard right sits out to spite him/wait for better chances in 2012. false
3. If McCain holds on to be the nominee, he will lose in November mainly because of his war stance. conditionally true - if McCain loses it will be mostly over this
4. If Obama is the nominee, does the Clinton faction sit out/go half hearted to allow Hillary to play savior in 2012. no
5a. If your answer to 4 is true, does it cost Obama the election
5b. If your answer to 4 is false, does it cause the hard right to get behind McCain because of the strength of Obama's campaign and the reprocussions (ie SCOTUS picks, healthcare etc) i don't see the connection here
6. If Clinton is the nominee,  the hard right, generally, comes back to support mccain in an anyone but clinton fashion true
7. McCain Defeats Clinton true
8. McCain Defeats Obama probably true
9. Huckabee will be McCain's VP false
10. Rendell will be Obama's VP no clue
11. Edwards will be Clinton's VP possibly
12. Edwards will be Obama's VP possibly
13. A Southerner will be McCain's VP probably true
14. Romney will be McCain's VP false
15. If Obama is the nominee, Bloomberg mounts a 3rd party campaign false
16. If Clinton is the nominee, Bloomberg mounts a 3rd party campaign false
17. Obama will do better in Vermont than he will in Massachusetts in the primary? yes. in the general? no.
18. McCain will do better in Pennsylvania than in Ohio tossup
19. McCain will win New Hampshire true
20. Clinton will win Florida false

Perhaps another round depending on how this goes and how the campaign goes...
[/quote]

[phk]

1. If Obama is the nominee, the Bradley Effect could cost him the election (sorry)
True

2. If McCain holds on to be the nominee, he will lose in November mainly because the hard right sits out to spite him/wait for better chances in 2012.
False

3. If McCain holds on to be the nominee, he will lose in November mainly because of his war stance.
True

4. If Obama is the nominee, does the Clinton faction sit out/go half hearted to allow Hillary to play savior in 2012.
True

5a. If your answer to 4 is true, does it cost Obama the election
Possibly

5b. If your answer to 4 is false, does it cause the hard right to get behind McCain because of the strength of Obama's campaign and the reprocussions (ie SCOTUS picks, healthcare etc)
N/A

6. If Clinton is the nominee,  the hard right, generally, comes back to support McCain in an anyone but Clinton fashion.
True

7. McCain Defeats Clinton True

8. McCain Defeats Obama Possibly True

9. Huckabee will be McCain's VP False

10. Rendell will be Obama's VP False

11. Edwards will be Clinton's VP Possible but leaning false

12. Edwards will be Obama's VP False

13. A Southerner will be McCain's VP Possible

14. Romney will be McCain's VP False

15. If Obama is the nominee, Bloomberg mounts a 3rd party campaign False

16. If Clinton is the nominee, Bloomberg mounts a 3rd party campaign False

17. Obama will do better in Vermont than he will in Massachusetts True

18. McCain will do better in Pennsylvania than in Ohio False

19. McCain will win New Hampshire Possible but leaning false

20. Clinton will win Florida False

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

13. A Southerner will be McCain's VP True
14. Romney will be McCain's VP True

   ?

[opebo]

4. If Obama is the nominee, does the Clinton faction sit out/go half hearted to allow Hillary to play savior in 2012.
Define 'the Clinton faction'. In the end, the Clinton voters from the primaries will fall behind Obama if necessary - I think that makes my answer - false.

I was assuming in my answer that this meant the "Clinton faction" within the powers that be of the Democratic party (i.e. the heavy hitters), not the actual voters.  Most of the Clinton support would get behind Obama, with question marks being sections of the Hispanics and the white working class.

I assume you mean they might not bother to vote, not that they'd support the ridiculous McCain.

[Јas]

4. If Obama is the nominee, does the Clinton faction sit out/go half hearted to allow Hillary to play savior in 2012.
Define 'the Clinton faction'. In the end, the Clinton voters from the primaries will fall behind Obama if necessary - I think that makes my answer - false.

I was assuming in my answer that this meant the "Clinton faction" within the powers that be of the Democratic party (i.e. the heavy hitters), not the actual voters.

Ah, well with that definition, I'd say false. I'd imagine only those who were very close to Clinton would sit it out.

Most of the Clinton support would get behind Obama, with question marks being sections of the Hispanics and the white working class.

Yeah, I'd agree with that.