My prediction at this point

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Obama will carry all the counties in the Northeastern part of NC by 60% or more.

All of them? Even the white ones that Bush took over 60% in? In any event it isn't as though many people live there and Kerry polled over 60% in most of the blacker counties anyway.

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So?

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No Democratic presidential candidate has led in Guilford by 5% since LBJ (and he only just made it). But it isn't out the question. Even so, a 4pt lead for Bubba translated into a raw vote lead of just 6,000 or so.

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I have trouble believing that, but even if that happens we won't be talking about a lead of much over 20,000.

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Not that many more votes actually.

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Not if the above is all he gains he won't.

[Sam Spade]

Josh is fast becoming the new Harry, wrt NC.

Makes sense, since Harry's obviously gay as well.

Kerry lost NC by 435,317 votes against Bush.  Obama will be a whole lot stronger. Obama will carry all the counties in the Northeastern part of NC by 60% or more. Obama will pick up Buncombe County (which Bush won by 623 votes). Buncombe is home of UNC-Asheville. He will carry Guilford County 5% or more, picking up more votes. He will carry Wake County by alot picking up more votes. He will win Orange and Durham Counties by 70% or more picking up more votes. Obama could win in NC this year.

Nothing to say Mr. Sam?

Is it really worth my time to type a response?

[Josh/Devilman88]

Obama will carry all the counties in the Northeastern part of NC by 60% or more.

All of them? Even the white ones that Bush took over 60% in? In any event it isn't as though many people live there and Kerry polled over 60% in most of the blacker counties anyway.

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So?

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No Democratic presidential candidate has led in Guilford by 5% since LBJ (and he only just made it). But it isn't out the question. Even so, a 4pt lead for Bubba translated into a raw vote lead of just 6,000 or so.

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I have trouble believing that, but even if that happens we won't be talking about a lead of much over 20,000.

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Not that many more votes actually.

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Not if the above is all he gains he won't.

I was just naming a few places..