Will the Democrats have a brokered convention in 2008?

[phk]

Will the Democrats have a brokered convention in 2008?

Seems like McCain would have a good 5 months to campaign.

[Mr. Morden]

Define "brokered convention".  Do you mean the nomination goes to a second ballot?  Or do you mean the nomination is uncertain when the convention begins?

[Keystone Phil]

You know, I still believe that the major parties would never allow it to get that far but I'm starting to entertain the idea...

[Jacobtm]

Obama will win on the first ballot.

[TomC]

Obama will win on the first ballot.

[Lief 🗽]

Clinton will drop out in March or April.

[Flying Dog]

I can't see Clinton winning huge enough margins in Texas and Ohio to come back. Obama really wants to pick off one of them so he will be funneling a lot of $$$ and volunteers into both of them. With that, I really can't see Obama getting less than 45% in both those states.

[J. J.]

No, but expect a floor fight.

[TomC]

No, but expect a floor fight.

I'm hoping for one between Hillary and Michelle Obama. People might actually watch the convention.

Plus, can't you just see the smile on Bill's face?

[Aizen]

No, but expect a floor fight.

cool!

[The Duke]

Even if their is no majority after the last primaries, the nomination will not go to the convention.  The superdelegates will make their preference clear and they will effectively decide the nominee during the summer.  The winner and loser will be made clear by those superdelegates announcing their preference during the early summer.  It wont be official until the convention, obviusly, but we aren't going into that convention without knowing who the nominee is.

[Robespierre's Jaw]

Clinton will drop out in March or April.

Hillary won't drop out, she'll take it all the way to the Convention if she has to.

[TomC]

Clinton will drop out in March or April.

Hillary won't drop out, she'll take it all the way to the Convention if she has to.

Perhaps, but I think you underestimate the power of the media. One of the two will concede.

[angus]

Will the Democrats have a brokered convention in 2008?

Seems like McCain would have a good 5 months to campaign.

I wish.  My heart says yes, my head says no.

I'd like at least one of the two major parties to have one of those at least once in my lifetime.  I gotta imagine that every junkie who posts here, along with every newsie, talking head, and pollster in the USA would want to live to see that just once.

Alas, it's likely that one of these two will knock each other off before the party holds its party this summer.  And most of the talking heads seem to be rooting for the guy with the middle name Hussein.  And the spin makes.  Fact is, they're essentially tied.  But to listen to Chris Matthews or Judy Woodruff or Wolfgang Blitzkrieg you'd think that Obama has taken an ugly stick to Hillary and beaten her silly.  Still, the spin matters out here in Flyover Country.  And I imagine that the spin pushes folks to Obama.  We yankees like to be on a winning team.  Usually we are.  And when we're not (as in Viet Nam) we manage to spin it to look like we didn't want to be.  But the fact is, we like winners, and since the press seems to be selecting Obama, and they're tied, and the marginal returns favor Obama, I'd have to put my money on this being settled long before the DNC meets to annoit Bush's successor, even though I'd obvously--like all of you--want to see a brokered convention.

So I'm voting NO in your poll.  But I'll keep my fingers crossed.