Republicans and Indys in Va - bad news for Hillary
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  Republicans and Indys in Va - bad news for Hillary
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Author Topic: Republicans and Indys in Va - bad news for Hillary  (Read 696 times)
agcatter
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« on: February 12, 2008, 07:36:27 PM »

According to Virginia Exit Polls

Independents (22%)  Obama 67, Hillary 32

Republicans     ( 7%)   Obama 71%, Hillary 25

Texas is also an open primary.  Independents and Republicans have a long history of crossing over and voting in the Texas Primary.  I'm telling you guys that Republicans and Indies will vote in large numbers against against Hillary.  That's almost a third of the electorate voting close to 70% for her opponent and can serve to keep Texas a lot closer than Hillary thinks it will be.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2008, 07:38:46 PM »

It's also good for Obama in the general.
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agcatter
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« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2008, 07:50:34 PM »

Not necessarily.  It is as far as independents.  Republicans, not really.  We're voting to stick a fork in that witch.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2008, 08:21:27 PM »

McCain could have used these guys tonight.
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Gabu
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« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2008, 08:23:28 PM »

McCain could have used these guys tonight.

It's still looking like he's gonna win, and Virginia's winner-take-all.

If he sweeps all three states tonight and effectively wraps up the nomination, independents and Republicans might come out in even greater numbers for Obama on March 4, which can't be good for Clinton.
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Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #5 on: February 12, 2008, 08:23:36 PM »

McCain could have used these guys tonight.

Margins don't really matter in WTA.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2008, 08:25:57 PM »

McCain could have used these guys tonight.

Margins don't really matter in WTA.

Yeah, but the margin is too close right now, yeah the remaining counties favor mccain, but even if he wins here and benefits from WTA, its not really good for his McMentum.
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MODU
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« Reply #7 on: February 12, 2008, 08:35:59 PM »

McCain could have used these guys tonight.

I (and a few others) decided that Killary needed the vote more, just to balance out the race against Obama.  hehehe . . . imagine the results if we HADN'T voted for her.  DOH!
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #8 on: February 12, 2008, 08:37:47 PM »

McCain could have used these guys tonight.

Margins don't really matter in WTA.

Yeah, but the margin is too close right now, yeah the remaining counties favor mccain, but even if he wins here and benefits from WTA, its not really good for his McMentum.

He doesn't need McMentum. He can McCoast. Or something like that.
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Gabu
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« Reply #9 on: February 12, 2008, 08:57:34 PM »

McCain could have used these guys tonight.

Margins don't really matter in WTA.

Yeah, but the margin is too close right now, yeah the remaining counties favor mccain, but even if he wins here and benefits from WTA, its not really good for his McMentum.

I don't think there's any logical way he can not get less than 50% of the delegates at this point, making McMentum irrelevant.  He had enough McMentum to have a great Super Tuesday, which was all he really needed.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #10 on: February 12, 2008, 09:09:26 PM »

ditto to what everyone else has said: it's getting close to mathematically impossible for Huck to win the nomination.

VA will be close, but I have a feeling the networks wouldn't have called it for McCain if they weren't confident based  on exit polling he wasn't going to pull it out. Also remember about VA that the conservative rural areas usually come in first.
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