if Obama pulled 49% of VA whites
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« on: February 12, 2008, 07:19:23 PM »
can he pull 49% of whites in Texas?  Ohio?  Pennsylvania?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2008, 07:19:49 PM »
Sure, after campaigning for 3 weeks (or in Pennsylvania's case, 6 weeks).
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Kevin
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« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2008, 07:19:54 PM »
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on February 12, 2008, 07:19:23 PM
can he pull 49% of whites in Texas?  Ohio?  Pennsylvania?

If he can do it here it is certainly possible?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2008, 07:20:42 PM »
Totally different types of white voters. NOVA whites are not like the white union members of PA and OH, that's for sure.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2008, 07:22:19 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:20:42 PM
Totally different types of white voters. NOVA whites are not like the white union members of PA and OH, that's for sure.

of course not, but are southcentral and southern VA whites similar to those in the Pitt suburbs and T, at all?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #5 on: February 12, 2008, 07:24:56 PM »
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on February 12, 2008, 07:22:19 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:20:42 PM
Totally different types of white voters. NOVA whites are not like the white union members of PA and OH, that's for sure.

of course not, but are southcentral and southern VA whites similar to those in the Pitt suburbs and T, at all?

Eh, I guess so. Then again, remember that PA has a lot of seniors in those areas and we know who they want. A plus for Obama - SE PA is like NOVA so he should do well in Montco and Bucks.
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snowguy716
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« Reply #6 on: February 12, 2008, 07:29:55 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:20:42 PM
Totally different types of white voters. NOVA whites are not like the white union members of PA and OH, that's for sure.

The union whites here voted for Obama by a large margin.  Surely northern Minnesota union whites have more in common with Ohio union whites than with NOVA whites.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #7 on: February 12, 2008, 07:30:01 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:24:56 PM
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on February 12, 2008, 07:22:19 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:20:42 PM
Totally different types of white voters. NOVA whites are not like the white union members of PA and OH, that's for sure.

of course not, but are southcentral and southern VA whites similar to those in the Pitt suburbs and T, at all?

Eh, I guess so. Then again, remember that PA has a lot of seniors in those areas and we know who they want. A plus for Obama - SE PA is like NOVA so he should do well in Montco and Bucks.

Obama won the 60+ demographic in VA 52-48
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #8 on: February 12, 2008, 07:30:23 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:24:56 PM
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on February 12, 2008, 07:22:19 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:20:42 PM
Totally different types of white voters. NOVA whites are not like the white union members of PA and OH, that's for sure.

of course not, but are southcentral and southern VA whites similar to those in the Pitt suburbs and T, at all?

Eh, I guess so. Then again, remember that PA has a lot of seniors in those areas and we know who they want. A plus for Obama - SE PA is like NOVA so he should do well in Montco and Bucks.

southern VA whites are probably more racist than PA & OH whites
Quote from: Snowguy716 on February 12, 2008, 07:29:55 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:20:42 PM
Totally different types of white voters. NOVA whites are not like the white union members of PA and OH, that's for sure.

The union whites here voted for Obama by a large margin.  Surely northern Minnesota union whites have more in common with Ohio union whites than with NOVA whites.
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Gabu
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« Reply #9 on: February 12, 2008, 07:31:28 PM »
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on February 12, 2008, 07:30:01 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:24:56 PM
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on February 12, 2008, 07:22:19 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on February 12, 2008, 07:20:42 PM
Totally different types of white voters. NOVA whites are not like the white union members of PA and OH, that's for sure.

of course not, but are southcentral and southern VA whites similar to those in the Pitt suburbs and T, at all?

Eh, I guess so. Then again, remember that PA has a lot of seniors in those areas and we know who they want. A plus for Obama - SE PA is like NOVA so he should do well in Montco and Bucks.

Obama won the 60+ demographic in VA 52-48

He lost whites in that age range 61-39; he only won it because there was a fair number of elderly blacks who voted for him overwhelmingly.
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gmo
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« Reply #10 on: February 12, 2008, 07:33:59 PM »
He does not need 49% though.  What is the number to win those states, low 40s%?  Then what would be the numbers to lose close enough to stay tight in the delegate race?

He is making it look like he can pull enough to win the war.
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HappyWarrior
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« Reply #11 on: February 12, 2008, 07:45:59 PM »
My dad is a union member and he and alot of his union buddies voted for Obama today.
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Thomas Jackson
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« Reply #12 on: February 12, 2008, 08:07:07 PM »
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And Weren't you predicting a Hillary! victory in Virginia?
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #13 on: February 12, 2008, 08:30:49 PM »
Quote from: ghostmonkey on February 12, 2008, 08:07:07 PM
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And Weren't you predicting a Hillary! victory in Virginia?

...

Yeah. Uh, ok? I think most would totally agree with the analysis that you quoted.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #14 on: February 12, 2008, 08:45:17 PM »
white men can't stand Hillary, more so in Texas than in most other states.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #15 on: February 12, 2008, 08:46:17 PM »
Quote from: strangeland on February 12, 2008, 08:45:17 PM
white men can't stand Hillary, more so in Texas than in most other states.

I understand that but those are mostly Republican men.  Tongue
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