Can anyone explain what a Hillary victory in Virginia would look like?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Southwest Virginia is the most conservative part of the state.

Only in America would such a claim be anything other than obviously idiotic...

God, why are you such an asshole all the time?

[WalterMitty]

Southwest Virginia is the most conservative part of the state.

Only in America would such a claim be anything other than obviously idiotic...

he is probably referring to the west central highlands down into the new river valley.

[useful idiot]

Obama also wins most of Hampton Roads. Hillary will win the white vote in places like Newport News but I really doubt that'll be enough.

Hillary will win places like Lynchburg and Norfolk

In Hampton Roads it really depends on the city. I think you're mistaken about Norfolk. It's population is basically made up of poor blacks, rich whites, military personnel, and students. The middle class whites usually commute to Norfolk from the other cities in south hampton roads(aka va beach, chesapeake, suffolk, portsmouth). There's a huge population of latte liberals here that should turn out pretty nicely for Obama, as well as the blacks and students. I don't know how the military population would figure in, other than we know Hillary Clinton probably isn't the most popular politician in the military. I'd look for Clinton to do well in northern Hampton Roads (Newport News, tons of poor whites), Chesapeake, and Suffolk. Portsmouth and Va Beach I have no idea about.

[perdedor]

The only way I am seeing a Clinton victory is if there is horrendously low turnout in the population centers. Considering the record turnout that we have been seeing throughout the entire process, I would say that Clinton's chances are slim and none.

[falling apart like the ashes of American flags]

Ouch, look who called this one...

The independents vote for McCain.

AHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHAHAHhahahahahahahahahhahahahahahhahah *falls down on the floor in fits of laughter*

[Gabu]

Ouch, look who called this one...

The independents vote for McCain.

AHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHAHAHhahahahahahahahahhahahahahahhahah *falls down on the floor in fits of laughter*

Well, technically speaking, the split of independents was actually fairly even.

That said, however, Obama would have actually still won comfortably even if it had been a closed primary with no independents at all.

[falling apart like the ashes of American flags]

Ouch, look who called this one...

The independents vote for McCain.

AHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHAHAHhahahahahahahahahhahahahahahhahah *falls down on the floor in fits of laughter*

Well, technically speaking, the split of independents was actually fairly even.

Huh?

Exit polls say 21% of Republican voters were independents. There was about 480k votes in the GOP primary. That equals around 100k independent voters.

22% of Democratic primary voters were independent. About 970k vote. This equals 213k independent voters. That's more than twice the number that voted in the Republican primary!

[Gabu]

Oh, yeah, I suppose in thinking about it I was only looking at the percentages.

Never mind.