official Super Tuesday commentary thread (Democrat)

[Verily]

Winning Missouri is nice, but we've gotta get California more manageable than 22 points.

Frisco and Alameda are both 0% in.  I'd guess it closes to about 8-9%.

Oh, come on. Contra Costa voted overwhelmingly for Clinton. Marin is, in fact, the only county Obama currently leads in the entire state, and almost nothing is in there.

[War on Want]

Idaho:  Obama: 80%   Clinton: 16%

lol.

W0000000tttt!!!! Idaho is the most awesomest state in the Union.

[MarkWarner08]

Major plaudits to Claire McCaskill for sticking her neck out there for Obama. That took real guts for a freshwomen Senator.

Congrats to the personification of good luck, Ms. Claire McCaskill.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Winning Missouri is nice, but we've gotta get California more manageable than 22 points.

Frisco and Alameda are both 0% in.  I'd guess it closes to about 8-9%.

Oh, come on. Contra Costa voted overwhelmingly for Clinton. Marin is, in fact, the only county Obama currently leads in the entire state, and almost nothing is in there.

8-9% sounds about right if you believe the exit polls

[Sam Spade]

Winning all those little states (even Missouri) won't matter one bit if Clinton gets a dominating win in CA.  Sorry...

[True Democrat]

California called for Clinton.

And it didn't take hours like Missouri.

Take that Obama supporters.

[Colin]

Winning Missouri is nice, but we've gotta get California more manageable than 22 points.

Frisco and Alameda are both 0% in.  I'd guess it closes to about 8-9%.

Oh, come on. Contra Costa voted overwhelmingly for Clinton. Marin is, in fact, the only county Obama currently leads in the entire state, and almost nothing is in there.

8-9% sounds about right if you believe the exit polls

Well let's just say that I'm not trusting them. 15% is my prediction, not scientific or based on anything other than gut feeling, but between 12%-15% would probably be likely.

[Keystone Phil]

California called for Clinton.

And it didn't take hours like Missouri.

Take that Obama supporters.

But...


but...


There was an upset in Connecticut! What do you mean Obama isn't the nominee?

[WalterMitty]

it looks like obama will squeak out a win in the mo.   but it looks like clinton will win comfortably in the ca.

i like that trade off

[TheresNoMoney]

Give it a rest, Phil!

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I don't see how Clinton can make up 5000.

Everyone needs to chillax.

Obama did very well tonight, and everyone should be proud. But Clinton was strong where it matters.

This was a good night for Democrats, high turnout everywhere... except TN... but you know Tornadoes.

[exopolitician]

California called for Clinton.

And it didn't take hours like Missouri.

Take that Obama supporters.

But...


but...


There was an upset in Connecticut! What do you mean Obama isn't the nominee?

oh please...how old are you...5....6? honestly

[Speed of Sound]

Does the amount of manlove between True Dem and KPhil violate forum rules? Certainly it isnt fit for the eyes of small children!

[perdedor]

Winning all those little states (even Missouri) won't matter one bit if Clinton gets a dominating win in CA.  Sorry...

Yet, Clinton is less than 100 delegates ahead of Obama...which is what really matters. The line up of primaries and caucuses to come favors Obama. As a supporter, I still feel good about tonight.

[MarkWarner08]

Bob Schieffer, "She [Hillary] has money problems." And many more problems after she gets hammered in the reamining Feb. primaries.

[Aizen]

Come on, Obama won't lose CA by 22 points. It'll be 10-15 in the end.

[J. J.]

MSNBC has called it.  It is Hillary's night, but the campaign will continue, IMO.

It looks big in CA.

[Eraserhead]

I'm satisfied. We survived.  We'll win the next round clearly.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Check out these InTrade graphs of Obama to win Missouri. Crazy:

[Flying Dog]

MSNBC has called it.  It is Hillary's night, but the campaign will continue, IMO.

It looks big in CA.

early...................voting...........

[TheresNoMoney]

Obama had a very good night. How good it ends up being will depend on the CA outcome, but he has definitely exceeded expectations overall.

[ottermax]

I think the early voting is the reason for the huge Clinton leads. The Edwards vote share is rather abnormal.

[True Democrat]

MSNBC has called it.  It is Hillary's night, but the campaign will continue, IMO.

It looks big in CA.

early...................voting...........

It's...........................over............................

[Verily]

I won't lie and say that tonight was disappointing. Still, Obama is not finished. In the end, Obama's enormous margins in the small states will do a lot to bring the delegate count at least reasonably close. That assumes a little bit of narrowing in California, but not a whole lot. Clinton will get the media narrative, but, as some have said, the states shortly after today favor Obama somewhat (generically) in my opinion. I don't think this ends the race by any stretch of the imagination.

[Speed of Sound]

MSNBC has called it.  It is Hillary's night, but the campaign will continue, IMO.

It looks big in CA.

early...................voting...........

It's...........................over............................

In CA? No duh. I dont think anyone here could possibly think otherwise, and its a sad state of affairs that you were unable to notice that, though not incredibly suprising.