official Super Tuesday commentary thread (Democrat)

[Joe Biden 2020]

Some very early Missouri exit polls:

Obama 50
Clinton 50.

Oh come on.

This is from a second-hand source, so it may or may not be reliable.

So, you're the third hand?  What did the left hand say to the right?

Both parties are from a Democratic source of pollsters relayed down to myself.  They are probably inaccurate, but they do indicate a very close race.

And who is this source again?  And why would they relay this information to you?

I am good friends with a State Senator from Missouri and thats where the information came from.

Let's just say its an unofficial source.

Supporting Obama or Clinton?

Obama

[Meeker]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

[Sam Spade]

Some very early Missouri exit polls:

Obama 50
Clinton 50.

Oh come on.

This is from a second-hand source, so it may or may not be reliable.

So, you're the third hand?  What did the left hand say to the right?

Both parties are from a Democratic source of pollsters relayed down to myself.  They are probably inaccurate, but they do indicate a very close race.

And who is this source again?  And why would they relay this information to you?

I am good friends with a State Senator from Missouri and thats where the information came from.

Let's just say its an unofficial source.

Supporting Obama or Clinton?

Obama

Thanks.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

Well, there's not that many precincts in New Mexico with only 5 electoral votes.

[exopolitician]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

Well, there's not that many precincts in New Mexico with only 5 electoral votes.

New Mexico is going to be interesting....I think its going to be very close there...closer than people think it will be.

[Meeker]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

Well, there's not that many precincts in New Mexico with only 5 electoral votes.

Huh?

[Joe Biden 2020]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

I'm actually suprised about the long lines, considering there is only one party voting today.

[Sam Spade]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

The key question in NM is where.

[Meeker]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

The key question in NM is where.

Albuquerque suburb

[Joe Biden 2020]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

Well, there's not that many precincts in New Mexico with only 5 electoral votes.

Huh?

never mind

[Alcon]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

Well, there's not that many precincts in New Mexico with only 5 electoral votes.

Huh?

NM

I assume you mean polling places, not precincts...and I don't see why having few electoral votes makes polling places have more people? 

[Speed of Sound]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

The key question in NM is where.

Albuquerque suburb

Oh thank goodness. Huzzah for partisan approval of disenfranchisement! ^__^

[Joe Biden 2020]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

Also there are voting lines of four hours being reported in New Mexico.

Well, there's not that many precincts in New Mexico with only 5 electoral votes.

Huh?

NM

I assume you mean polling places, not precincts...and I don't see why having few electoral votes makes polling places have more people? 

Yes, thats what I mean.  For some reason, I have it stuck in my head that polling places and precincts are the same, but I know very well thats not true.

Never mind about the reasoning, that could get tricky in a hurry.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Apparently California has one of those ballots where if you're any Independent you need to fill in the little bubble at the top to confirm you're supporting the Democrats or something... anyways a lot of people are forgetting to do that and it's probably disenfranchising thousands of Independents.

That might only be Los Angeles county.

[Mr. Morden]

National Review's Campaign Spot is a good place for exit poll leaks, and it's now after 5pm, so leaks are more likely to be legit.  First bit of news:

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/

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[Sam Spade]

National Review's Campaign Spot is a good place for exit poll leaks, and it's now after 5pm, so leaks are more likely to be legit.  First bit of news:

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/

You must be logged in to read this quote.

This sounds about right (if not normal).

[Eleden]

National Review's Campaign Spot is a good place for exit poll leaks, and it's now after 5pm, so leaks are more likely to be legit.  First bit of news:

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/

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It looks like SUSA might be wrong.... hopefully the same is true about their California polls.

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.townhall.com/news/politics-elections/2008/02/05/early_feb_5_exit_poll_highlights

[Speed of Sound]

Hmmm.....I wish I could pull any inkling out of these numbers...

[Eleden]

Hmmm.....I wish I could pull any inkling out of these numbers...

"1 out of 10 voters are young, 1 out of 5 are over 65"

Looks good for Hillary. 

[Speed of Sound]

Hmmm.....I wish I could pull any inkling out of these numbers...

"1 out of 10 voters are young, 1 out of 5 are over 65"

Looks good for Hillary. 

Eh, not necessarily. The youth vote is lower, but so is the seniro vote. It depends on whether the vote in the middle is closer to the 20-30 range, or the 40-50 range.

[J. J.]

Where is the next Democratic Primaries?  I'm looking at the schedule.

[Math]

Where is the next Democratic Primaries?  I'm looking at the schedule.

Lousiana I think...

[J. J.]

Where is the next Democratic Primaries?  I'm looking at the schedule.

Lousiana I think...

Dates and others; VA is coming up, I know.

[exopolitician]

Where is the next Democratic Primaries?  I'm looking at the schedule.

Lousiana I think...

Dates and others; VA is coming up, I know.

DC, Virginia, and Maryland are the 12th. And Louisiana and Washington and a couple others are before that.