Missouri Primary

[Keystone Phil]

Tomorrow, August 3rd, is the Missouri primary. While there are a few Congressional and Senate primaries, the real interesting race is the Democratic primary for Governor. So who will win it? Holden or McCaskill?

I think that, though Holden has become a pretty unpopular figure in Missouri and while McCaskill would be the stronger candidate in the general, I think Holden will win the primary by a slim margin.

[PBrunsel]

It will be Holden. He is unpopular, but he is the incumbent.

[Keystone Phil]

Polls in the Show-Me state close in about three hours. I will update this thread when results become available.

[© tweed]

Holden

[John]

i think it is going to be close

[John]

Poll Closed
it is now
McCaskill: 60%
Holden: 37%

[Keystone Phil]

Poll Closed
it is now
McCaskill: 60%
Holden: 37%

With only 9 out of 3992 reporting it is...

McCaskill - 59%
Holden - 39%

http://www.sos.mo.gov/enrweb/statewideresults.asp?eid=116

I'll check back with updates later tonight.
 

[John]

well it looks like
Holden might Win

[Keystone Phil]

with 935 out of 3992 reporting...

Holden - 45%
McCaskill - 52%

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I can't say that I've been following this race closely
What did Hiolden do to get such a strong challenge?
Aside from the purely partidan consideration of who would be the stronger candidate in the general election why should anyone favor one over the other?

[Keystone Phil]

I can't say that I've been following this race closely
What did Hiolden do to get such a strong challenge?
Aside from the purely partidan consideration of who would be the stronger candidate in the general election why should anyone favor one over the other?

I'm not sure why he is so unpopular but I can tell you this...if he survives this primary, he's probably going to lose the general. If a statewide office holder from his own party challenges him, you know he's unpopular and you know he'll be a weak candidate in the general if he wins by only 1-2% tonight. (If the results keep coming in the way they are, Holden won't have to worry about a general since he won't be running in it.)

[John]

Well here is a another one
McCaskill: 51%
Holden: 45%
I think Holden should just trow in the towal
He is dead meat

[Keystone Phil]

As of now it looks like a McCaskill victory with 2058 precincts reporting...

Holden - 44%
McCaskill - 53%

[Keystone Phil]

McCaskill's website is already saying she will be the nominee. With 2409 out of 3992 precincts reporting it is...

Holden - 44%
McCaskill - 53%

It's looking like a Claire McCaskill (D) - Matt Blunt (R) race in November. Move the Missouri Governor's race from likely Republican to lean Republican, possibly tossup.

[RBH]

The election map for this primary:

http://mediaservice.photoisland.com/auction/Aug/2004843096657022858309.jpg

[Giant Saguaro]

I'm going to call McCaskill over Holden a bit of an upset, really. I guess it was coming, they were very unsatisfied with him and having had an opportunity to see a few of his ads (Holden's), I was interested to see how defensive they were, especially the one featuring his wife in which he didn't even appear. Blunt, of course, says no big deal, they're both the same (and in reality they probably are pretty close), but they are about as different as can be when it comes to presenting themselves. I can't call this one an easy GOP pick-up now, it will likely get close now. McCaskill may even get a bounce, who knows - will be interesting to follow into November.

[John]

Well i was Right
Holden trew the Towal in

[Beet]

That is what the Bush v Kerry map will look like... except Bush will do better.