Could Cornyn win by more than in 2020?
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Author Topic: Could Cornyn win by more than in 2020?  (Read 443 times)
Empress Beatrix
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« on: January 27, 2025, 01:12:00 PM »
 I think it’s possible
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Samof94
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« Reply #1 on: January 27, 2025, 02:14:43 PM »
I think he'll have a primary challenger in 2026 though due to guns.
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KakyoinMemeHouse
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« Reply #2 on: January 27, 2025, 03:06:31 PM »
Given the national environment, nah.
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Compuzled_One
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« Reply #3 on: January 27, 2025, 03:40:07 PM »
Yes, and I think he will.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #4 on: January 27, 2025, 06:54:18 PM »
Maybe he falls a tad short.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #5 on: January 27, 2025, 07:42:23 PM »
This far out, there's too wide a range of outcomes here to say with much confidence.

One big question is does he face a notable primary challenge from the right or does the TX GOP stay relatively united?

Also think depends on turnout dynamics. One of the reasons Trump/Cruz were able to win TX by more than expected in 2024 (even given the national environment) was turnout dynamics were heavily skewed towards the GOP - moreso than usual. If we have turnout dyanmics that look more like 2018/2020, then Cornyn may struggle to crack double-digits.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: January 28, 2025, 06:59:02 AM »
He has no opponent right right now
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インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #7 on: January 28, 2025, 08:47:59 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on January 27, 2025, 07:42:23 PM
This far out, there's too wide a range of outcomes here to say with much confidence.

One big question is does he face a notable primary challenge from the right or does the TX GOP stay relatively united?

Also think depends on turnout dynamics. One of the reasons Trump/Cruz were able to win TX by more than expected in 2024 (even given the national environment) was turnout dynamics were heavily skewed towards the GOP - moreso than usual. If we have turnout dyanmics that look more like 2018/2020, then Cornyn may struggle to crack double-digits.
This feels about right.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: January 28, 2025, 11:55:40 AM »
It doesn't look like Cornyn is getting competition so it's safe
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