Trump approval ratings thread 2.0
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Author Topic: Trump approval ratings thread 2.0  (Read 105457 times)
GAinDC
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« Reply #2550 on: June 16, 2025, 10:06:16 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 16, 2025, 08:39:12 AM
Harvard/Harris 46/50 (was 47/48 last month)

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/HHP_June2025_KeyResults.pdf

"responding to the riots in LA" oh come on man...



These biased outlets really need to work on making their bias less obvious....
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2551 on: June 16, 2025, 12:05:12 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 16, 2025, 08:39:12 AM
Harvard/Harris 46/50 (was 47/48 last month)

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/HHP_June2025_KeyResults.pdf

"responding to the riots in LA" oh come on man...



And even then, there are signs that buyer's remorse is setting in.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2552 on: June 16, 2025, 02:30:41 PM »
I have no idea what Scott Rasmussen is doing... even if you don't believe Trump is -8 (average) or -14 (todays Verasight), having Trump 52/46 approval, +6, is just insanely ridiculous and clearly off.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2553 on: June 16, 2025, 03:27:07 PM »
Suffolk “New England” poll

n=1000
MA - 74% (n=740)
NH - 14% (n=140)
RI - 12% (n=120)

Trump approval 29/68 (-39)

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/issues-polls/2025/6_11_2025_new_england_regional_complete_marginals.pdf?la=en&hash=E63095C9BE780497F98C3F8912850DDA157D63BB
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jvmh2009
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« Reply #2554 on: June 16, 2025, 03:49:58 PM »
Interesting but useless.
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jvmh2009
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« Reply #2555 on: June 16, 2025, 04:03:52 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 16, 2025, 02:30:41 PM
I have no idea what Scott Rasmussen is doing... even if you don't believe Trump is -8 (average) or -14 (todays Verasight), having Trump 52/46 approval, +6, is just insanely ridiculous and clearly off.
I mean I am not confident enough to say that, but even TIPP had a poll today that was Trump -7. And Harvard-Harris had Trump -4. Both are lower than the last that they published.
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Sic Semper Tyrannis
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« Reply #2556 on: June 16, 2025, 06:35:44 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 16, 2025, 08:39:12 AM
Harvard/Harris 46/50 (was 47/48 last month)

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/HHP_June2025_KeyResults.pdf

"responding to the riots in LA" oh come on man...



Quote
Respondents for this poll are recruited through opt-in, web-panel recruitment
sampling.
Polls using opt in online samples are junk.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2557 on: June 16, 2025, 07:23:16 PM »
Reuters/Ipsos
42/54 approval (was 42/52 last month)

44/49 immigration (was 47/45 last month)
39/52 economy (was 39/53 last month)

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-approval-steady-42-support-weakens-his-immigration-policy-reutersipsos-2025-06-16/


Morning Consult
46/52 approval (was 47/51 last week)

https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/donald-trump-congress-policy-republicans-polling
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2558 on: June 16, 2025, 07:35:50 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 16, 2025, 07:23:16 PM
Reuters/Ipsos
42/54 approval (was 42/52 last month)

44/49 immigration (was 47/45 last month)
39/52 economy (was 39/53 last month)

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-approval-steady-42-support-weakens-his-immigration-policy-reutersipsos-2025-06-16/


Morning Consult
46/52 approval (was 47/51 last week)

https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/donald-trump-congress-policy-republicans-polling

He’s stabilizing where he has basically been since 2018.
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jvmh2009
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« Reply #2559 on: June 16, 2025, 07:45:10 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 16, 2025, 07:23:16 PM
Reuters/Ipsos
42/54 approval (was 42/52 last month)

44/49 immigration (was 47/45 last month)
39/52 economy (was 39/53 last month)

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-approval-steady-42-support-weakens-his-immigration-policy-reutersipsos-2025-06-16/


Morning Consult
46/52 approval (was 47/51 last week)

https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/donald-trump-congress-policy-republicans-polling
Looking good
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2560 on: June 16, 2025, 10:48:28 PM »
Inherently, I think Americans just don't like chaos under a President, no matter who that President is or what the chaos entails.

It would have been nice if they recognized who would be the chaotic person elected last year, but I can't beat that dead horse enough.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #2561 on: June 17, 2025, 01:20:34 AM »
« Edited: June 17, 2025, 01:33:42 AM by ProgressiveModerate »




Not a big subset but it’s still funny how there’s some people who seem to disapprove of Trump because he’s not right wing enough and doesn’t feed their crazy conspiracies.

These sorts of things can happen when your coalition is full of low trust conspiracy idiots, and maybe Dems should try to leverage it more (the same way Republicans have been decently effective at helping turn progressives against mainstream Dems).

Genuinely think Musk may have turned the Twitter algorithm a bit against Trump because I used to almost never get Trump-skeptic posts from the right and all of a sudden they’ve started spawning in my feed semi-regularly.

Also I love how the pfp for “MascMillennial” is a twink
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2562 on: June 17, 2025, 08:14:52 AM »
YouGov/Economist, June 13-16

Overall approval: 41/54 (adults), 44/53 (RV)

Crime 44/45 (adults), 47/46 (RV)
Iran 37/41 (adults), 42/42 (RV)
Guns 38/43 (adults), 40/45 (RV)
Israel 37/44 (adults), 41/47 (RV)
Response to ICE protests in LA 41/48 (adults), 44/48 (RV)
Immigration 44/52 (adults), 46/52 (RV)
Deportations 42/52 (adults), 45/52 (RV)
Jobs and the economy 41/53 (adults), 43/53 (RV)
Civil rights 38/51 (adults), 41/51 (RV)
Inflation/prices 35/58 (adults), 39/57 (RV)

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_CyorzxR.pdf#page=17
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2563 on: June 17, 2025, 08:16:59 AM »
Big drop for Trump among immigration from last weeks poll - they had him +4 among adults and RV, which fell all the way to -8 (adults) and -6 (RV) this week

His overall approval also dropped from -9 last week to -13 this week
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2564 on: June 17, 2025, 08:19:53 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2025, 08:14:52 AM
YouGov/Economist, June 13-16

Overall approval: 41/54 (adults), 44/53 (RV)

Crime 44/45 (adults), 47/46 (RV)
Iran 37/41 (adults), 42/42 (RV)
Guns 38/43 (adults), 40/45 (RV)
Israel 37/44 (adults), 41/47 (RV)
Response to ICE protests in LA 41/48 (adults), 44/48 (RV)
Immigration 44/52 (adults), 46/52 (RV)
Deportations 42/52 (adults), 45/52 (RV)
Jobs and the economy 41/53 (adults), 43/53 (RV)
Civil rights 38/51 (adults), 41/51 (RV)
Inflation/prices 35/58 (adults), 39/57 (RV)

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_CyorzxR.pdf#page=17

I could see the 2026 Generic vote be 45 R and 52 D. That would pretty much guarantee Democrats  49 senators, 235 congresscritters and to keep or expand their governorships. Beyond that, Republicans might be able to circle the wagons and win that 50th senate seat by the low to mid single digits.
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jvmh2009
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« Reply #2565 on: June 17, 2025, 08:23:57 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2025, 08:14:52 AM
YouGov/Economist, June 13-16

Overall approval: 41/54 (adults), 44/53 (RV)

Crime 44/45 (adults), 47/46 (RV)
Iran 37/41 (adults), 42/42 (RV)
Guns 38/43 (adults), 40/45 (RV)
Israel 37/44 (adults), 41/47 (RV)
Response to ICE protests in LA 41/48 (adults), 44/48 (RV)
Immigration 44/52 (adults), 46/52 (RV)
Deportations 42/52 (adults), 45/52 (RV)
Jobs and the economy 41/53 (adults), 43/53 (RV)
Civil rights 38/51 (adults), 41/51 (RV)
Inflation/prices 35/58 (adults), 39/57 (RV)

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_CyorzxR.pdf#page=17
Really loving the age 18-29 crosstab 27% Approve 66% Disapprove
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2566 on: June 17, 2025, 08:27:22 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2567 on: June 17, 2025, 08:28:04 AM »
Quote from: jvmh2009 on June 17, 2025, 08:23:57 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2025, 08:14:52 AM
YouGov/Economist, June 13-16

Overall approval: 41/54 (adults), 44/53 (RV)

Crime 44/45 (adults), 47/46 (RV)
Iran 37/41 (adults), 42/42 (RV)
Guns 38/43 (adults), 40/45 (RV)
Israel 37/44 (adults), 41/47 (RV)
Response to ICE protests in LA 41/48 (adults), 44/48 (RV)
Immigration 44/52 (adults), 46/52 (RV)
Deportations 42/52 (adults), 45/52 (RV)
Jobs and the economy 41/53 (adults), 43/53 (RV)
Civil rights 38/51 (adults), 41/51 (RV)
Inflation/prices 35/58 (adults), 39/57 (RV)

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_CyorzxR.pdf#page=17
Really loving the age 18-29 crosstab 27% Approve 66% Disapprove

Given the propensity of the type of young voters who vote in off years, and the fact that Trump seems to have killed any good will he had with most 'low engagement' young voters as well, I think it's very possible we see 2018-style young voter #s next year.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2568 on: June 17, 2025, 09:07:34 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2025, 08:28:04 AM
Quote from: jvmh2009 on June 17, 2025, 08:23:57 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2025, 08:14:52 AM
YouGov/Economist, June 13-16

Overall approval: 41/54 (adults), 44/53 (RV)

Crime 44/45 (adults), 47/46 (RV)
Iran 37/41 (adults), 42/42 (RV)
Guns 38/43 (adults), 40/45 (RV)
Israel 37/44 (adults), 41/47 (RV)
Response to ICE protests in LA 41/48 (adults), 44/48 (RV)
Immigration 44/52 (adults), 46/52 (RV)
Deportations 42/52 (adults), 45/52 (RV)
Jobs and the economy 41/53 (adults), 43/53 (RV)
Civil rights 38/51 (adults), 41/51 (RV)
Inflation/prices 35/58 (adults), 39/57 (RV)

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_CyorzxR.pdf#page=17
Really loving the age 18-29 crosstab 27% Approve 66% Disapprove

Given the propensity of the type of young voters who vote in off years, and the fact that Trump seems to have killed any good will he had with most 'low engagement' young voters as well, I think it's very possible we see 2018-style young voter #s next year.

The goal is 2018 electorate, but not where we are defending North Dakota, Missouri, Montana, Ohio, INDIANA, and Florida in the senate and only have Texas, Arizona, Nevada, and TENNESSEE as pick up possibilities. We replace that with starting out 2 lower, but only having to defend Georgia and Michigan, and looking at Maine, North Carolina, Iowa, and Ohio and maybe Texas and Alaska.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2569 on: June 17, 2025, 12:23:10 PM »
This one's a shocker - even Quantus only has Trump approval at +6 in South Carolina...
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jvmh2009
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« Reply #2570 on: June 17, 2025, 12:57:44 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2025, 12:23:10 PM
This one's a shocker - even Quantus only has Trump approval at +6 in South Carolina...


Quantus has Trump -1 nationally but +6 in South Carolina. Sure jan
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2571 on: June 17, 2025, 02:02:32 PM »
The only viable D is James Harrison and he isn't gonna run because of his failed leadership at DNC but might run in 28
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2572 on: June 17, 2025, 02:05:23 PM »
Quote from: jvmh2009 on June 17, 2025, 12:57:44 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 17, 2025, 12:23:10 PM
This one's a shocker - even Quantus only has Trump approval at +6 in South Carolina...


Quantus has Trump -1 nationally but +6 in South Carolina. Sure jan

I guess that's curtains for Lady Legs.
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2573 on: June 17, 2025, 02:08:22 PM »
SC is becoming a battleground state, it's becoming the new SC, I always said Harrison has a chance in 28 not 26, because Scott is retiring.
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jvmh2009
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« Reply #2574 on: June 17, 2025, 02:13:09 PM »
Quote from: Mr.Bakari-Sellers on June 17, 2025, 02:08:22 PM
SC is becoming a battleground state, it's becoming the new SC, I always said Harrison has a chance in 28 not 26, because Scott is retiring.
Counterpoint: No it's not.
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