Trump approval ratings thread 2.0

[jvmh2009]

Guys..  we are only 3 months in..people seems to forget the state of the American attention span... what happens when Trump actually does get a trade deal or 2 or the economy actually does turn around.... then all this fantasizing about flipping seats will seem really dumb...

People want a quick answer to what's going on right now but the truth of the matter is none of us know what the next 2 weeks will bring let alone the next 2 to 4 years. It is my belief that we are in for a generation long fight so buckle in....we need to build resilience, not vibes and sh**t.

[Virginiá]

Guys..  we are only 3 months in..people seems to forget the state of the American attention span... what happens when Trump actually does get a trade deal or 2 or the economy actually does turn around.... then all this fantasizing about flipping seats will seem really dumb...

People want a quick answer to what's going on right now but the truth of the matter is none of us know what the next 2 weeks will bring let alone the next 2 to 4 years. It is my belief that we are in for a generation long fight so buckle in....we need to build resilience, not vibes and sh**t.

Spaces like this forum operate with a sort of "electoral time dilation," where a month feels like a year to us because of how much news and political intrigue we consume. It's why we get posts drawing conclusions about elections literally year(s) from now based on "stubborn" approval ratings that refuse to totally collapse after less than 100 days in office.

[ingemann]

Guys..  we are only 3 months in..people seems to forget the state of the American attention span... what happens when Trump actually does get a trade deal or 2 or the economy actually does turn around.... then all this fantasizing about flipping seats will seem really dumb...

People want a quick answer to what's going on right now but the truth of the matter is none of us know what the next 2 weeks will bring let alone the next 2 to 4 years. It is my belief that we are in for a generation long fight so buckle in....we need to build resilience, not vibes and sh**t.

Nothing happens because he won’t turn it around, yes he may get trade deals with minor economies, but even that’s unlikely because he doesn’t want trade deals. Negotiation with Trump is a moving goal poster, which he has made very clear in Ukraine, so only the truly desperate will take any negotiations with Trump seriously, most will likely simply negotiate for forms sake.

So foreign countries will try to disconnect their economies from USA as much as possible the next few years, and even if Trump change course people will continue that process, because any deal with Trump is worthless.

[wbrocks67]

Guys..  we are only 3 months in..people seems to forget the state of the American attention span... what happens when Trump actually does get a trade deal or 2 or the economy actually does turn around.... then all this fantasizing about flipping seats will seem really dumb...

People want a quick answer to what's going on right now but the truth of the matter is none of us know what the next 2 weeks will bring let alone the next 2 to 4 years. It is my belief that we are in for a generation long fight so buckle in....we need to build resilience, not vibes and sh**t.

where is the evidence of any of this is likely to happen...?

[jvmh2009]

Guys..  we are only 3 months in..people seems to forget the state of the American attention span... what happens when Trump actually does get a trade deal or 2 or the economy actually does turn around.... then all this fantasizing about flipping seats will seem really dumb...

People want a quick answer to what's going on right now but the truth of the matter is none of us know what the next 2 weeks will bring let alone the next 2 to 4 years. It is my belief that we are in for a generation long fight so buckle in....we need to build resilience, not vibes and sh**t.

where is the evidence of any of this is likely to happen...?

Just because it hasn't happened yet does not mean that it won't. But the odds are basically 50/50. Its literally only been 3 weeks since "Liberation Day". All I'm saying is don't spike the football yet... We have a long way to go.

[Sir Mohamed]

Guys..  we are only 3 months in..people seems to forget the state of the American attention span... what happens when Trump actually does get a trade deal or 2 or the economy actually does turn around.... then all this fantasizing about flipping seats will seem really dumb...

People want a quick answer to what's going on right now but the truth of the matter is none of us know what the next 2 weeks will bring let alone the next 2 to 4 years. It is my belief that we are in for a generation long fight so buckle in....we need to build resilience, not vibes and sh**t.

Nothing happens because he won’t turn it around, yes he may get trade deals with minor economies, but even that’s unlikely because he doesn’t want trade deals. Negotiation with Trump is a moving goal poster, which he has made very clear in Ukraine, so only the truly desperate will take any negotiations with Trump seriously, most will likely simply negotiate for forms sake.

So foreign countries will try to disconnect their economies from USA as much as possible the next few years, and even if Trump change course people will continue that process, because any deal with Trump is worthless.

Exactly.

Trump's biggest problem is that he doesn't have a clue about macroeconomics and economic relationships and interdependencies. And given his total ignorance, he has absolutely no interest in understanding them at all. The dude lives in his own narrow-minded world and continues to believe he can operate like a New York real estate developer of the 1980s. But that's not how things work. And we all pay the price for it.

[ingemann]

Guys..  we are only 3 months in..people seems to forget the state of the American attention span... what happens when Trump actually does get a trade deal or 2 or the economy actually does turn around.... then all this fantasizing about flipping seats will seem really dumb...

People want a quick answer to what's going on right now but the truth of the matter is none of us know what the next 2 weeks will bring let alone the next 2 to 4 years. It is my belief that we are in for a generation long fight so buckle in....we need to build resilience, not vibes and sh**t.

Nothing happens because he won’t turn it around, yes he may get trade deals with minor economies, but even that’s unlikely because he doesn’t want trade deals. Negotiation with Trump is a moving goal poster, which he has made very clear in Ukraine, so only the truly desperate will take any negotiations with Trump seriously, most will likely simply negotiate for forms sake.

So foreign countries will try to disconnect their economies from USA as much as possible the next few years, and even if Trump change course people will continue that process, because any deal with Trump is worthless.

Exactly.

Trump's biggest problem is that he doesn't have a clue about macroeconomics and economic relationships and interdependencies. And given his total ignorance, he has absolutely no interest in understanding them at all. The dude lives in his own narrow-minded world and continues to believe he can operate like a New York real estate developer of the 1980s. But that's not how things work. And we all pay the price for it.

Yes, Trump simply doesn’t get that he’s dealing with a limited number of actors, a number which only change slowly and where everyone knows any deal with him is worthless. So minor and medium actors keep their heads and tries to not get his attention, while they seek increasing independence from USA, while major actors simply takes him on directly. I honestly think American businessmen have to be worst people to try interact in global politics, where it takes decades to build political capital and you can lose it in moments.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1914684364710879607

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1914683600395546907

[wbrocks67]

On immigration, his strongest area of support, 45% of respondents approved of Trump's performance but 46% disapproved.

-

This should be the warning sign. He's now in negative territory in multiple nows among his "strongest" issue

[Duke 🇺🇸]

It's just incredible how this country had collective amnesia for like a month and now is realizing what an awful mistake it made within the first 60 days of his presidency. Although if an election were held today, I could still see him winning because his cult will march through a fire to vote for him.

[BlueSwan]

It's just incredible how this country had collective amnesia for like a month and now is realizing what an awful mistake it made within the first 60 days of his presidency. Although if an election were held today, I could still see him winning because his cult will march through a fire to vote for him.

Counterpoint. His honeymoon approvals were just that. People who didn't vote for him willing to give him the benefit of the doubt (stupidly). Those people now disapprove. Furthermore some of the "soft disapprovers" would probably vote for him again over a democrat. The vast vast majority of his actual supporters still support him. His approvals are still higher than for most of his first term.

[K.W.R.A.E. 8647]

It's just incredible how this country had collective amnesia for like a month and now is realizing what an awful mistake it made within the first 60 days of his presidency. Although if an election were held today, I could still see him winning because his cult will march through a fire to vote for him.

Counterpoint. His honeymoon approvals were just that. People who didn't vote for him willing to give him the benefit of the doubt (stupidly). Those people now disapprove. Furthermore some of the "soft disapprovers" would probably vote for him again over a democrat. The vast vast majority of his actual supporters still support him. His approvals are still higher than for most of his first term.

How is that a "counterpoint"? He already said his cult will march through a fire to vote for him. Also, his approval rating is now barely above what it was at this point in his first disastrous term, he's now just as hated as he was then.

[K.W.R.A.E. 8647]

https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:rogqxhzq6vy54nbuy4n6rwyd/post/3lnibscjgsk2o

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1915041939562385815

YouGov: Trump approval (RVs)

Approve: 44%
Disapprove: 53%

Independents: 30-59%
——
Trump's net approval on key issues

🟤 Immigration -6 (was +5 on April 6)
🟤 Foreign policy -10
🟤 The Economy -11 (new low)
🟤 Inflation: -19
——
Trump's net approval crosstabs

🟤 Adults: -13
🟤 Reg. voters: -9
---
🟢 GOP: +74
🟤 Dem: -85
🟤 Indie: -29
---
🟡 White: Even
🟤 Black: -55
🟤 Hispanic: -33
---
🟤 Ages 18-29: -24
🟤 Ages 30-44: -23
🟤 Ages 45-64: -3
🟤 Ages 65+: -5
---
🟤 Men: -4
🟤 Women: -22

Trump's net approval by YouGov was +4 at the start of this term, -5 in late March, and -9 today (rvs)
——
Economist | 4/19-22 | 1,446 RV
https://t.co/z7w90yrmha

[K.W.R.A.E. 8647]

Where's Heatcharger?

[Sir Mohamed]

It's just incredible how this country had collective amnesia for like a month and now is realizing what an awful mistake it made within the first 60 days of his presidency. Although if an election were held today, I could still see him winning because his cult will march through a fire to vote for him.

Yup, if the election was rerun today, I think he'd still narrowly win. As pathetic as it is.

[GAinDC]

It's just incredible how this country had collective amnesia for like a month and now is realizing what an awful mistake it made within the first 60 days of his presidency. Although if an election were held today, I could still see him winning because his cult will march through a fire to vote for him.

Yup, if the election was rerun today, I think he'd still narrowly win. As pathetic as it is.

Which states would flip?

[Stranger in a strange land]

Guys..  we are only 3 months in..people seems to forget the state of the American attention span... what happens when Trump actually does get a trade deal or 2 or the economy actually does turn around.... then all this fantasizing about flipping seats will seem really dumb...

People want a quick answer to what's going on right now but the truth of the matter is none of us know what the next 2 weeks will bring let alone the next 2 to 4 years. It is my belief that we are in for a generation long fight so buckle in....we need to build resilience, not vibes and sh**t.

No country (aside from maybe Russia or El Salvador) will sign such a deal because Trump will just go back on it or blow it up at the last minute.

[Mr.Bakari-Sellers]

Hestcharger knows it's a disaster of Prez there aren't any 5K dollar checks coming and SSA already said beware of scams from the IRS saying that stimulus checks are forthcoming, they're not

[Sir Mohamed]

It's just incredible how this country had collective amnesia for like a month and now is realizing what an awful mistake it made within the first 60 days of his presidency. Although if an election were held today, I could still see him winning because his cult will march through a fire to vote for him.

Yup, if the election was rerun today, I think he'd still narrowly win. As pathetic as it is.

Which states would flip?

Not sure any would, most likely WI and MI.

[wbrocks67]

Full YouGov:

Trump fav 43/55 (adults), 44/55 (RV)
Vance fav 38/51 (adults), 42/52 (RV)

Overall job approval 41/54 (adults), 44/53 (RV)

Crime 44/45 (adults), 46/46 (RV)
National security 44/47 (adults), 46/49 (RV)
Immigration 45/50 (adults), 46/52 (RV)
Criminal justice reform 39/45 (adults), 40/47 (RV)
Jobs and the economy 41/53 (adults), 43/54 (RV)
Education 39/51 (adults), 42/52 (RV)
Foreign policy 39/53 (adults), 42/54 (RV)
Inflation/prices 37/57 (adults), 39/58 (RV)

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_iR37dyy.pdf

As mentioned, Trump is now net positive *nothing*, is confirmed to be net negative on immigration, and his economy/inflation approvals continue to plunge

[CookieDamage]

If he's double digits underwater than he probably loses every swing state except Arizona

[Malikconcep]

Full YouGov:

Trump fav 43/55 (adults), 44/55 (RV)
Vance fav 38/51 (adults), 42/52 (RV)

Overall job approval 41/54 (adults), 44/53 (RV)

Crime 44/45 (adults), 46/46 (RV)
National security 44/47 (adults), 46/49 (RV)
Immigration 45/50 (adults), 46/52 (RV)
Criminal justice reform 39/45 (adults), 40/47 (RV)
Jobs and the economy 41/53 (adults), 43/54 (RV)
Education 39/51 (adults), 42/52 (RV)
Foreign policy 39/53 (adults), 42/54 (RV)
Inflation/prices 37/57 (adults), 39/58 (RV)

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_iR37dyy.pdf

As mentioned, Trump is now net positive *nothing*, is confirmed to be net negative on immigration, and his economy/inflation approvals continue to plunge

Looks like the Abrego Garcia debacle hurted Trump in Immigration.

[GAinDC]

Full YouGov:

Trump fav 43/55 (adults), 44/55 (RV)
Vance fav 38/51 (adults), 42/52 (RV)

Overall job approval 41/54 (adults), 44/53 (RV)

Crime 44/45 (adults), 46/46 (RV)
National security 44/47 (adults), 46/49 (RV)
Immigration 45/50 (adults), 46/52 (RV)
Criminal justice reform 39/45 (adults), 40/47 (RV)
Jobs and the economy 41/53 (adults), 43/54 (RV)
Education 39/51 (adults), 42/52 (RV)
Foreign policy 39/53 (adults), 42/54 (RV)
Inflation/prices 37/57 (adults), 39/58 (RV)

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_iR37dyy.pdf

As mentioned, Trump is now net positive *nothing*, is confirmed to be net negative on immigration, and his economy/inflation approvals continue to plunge

good

[หมูเด้ง]

Where's Heatcharger?

He's somewhere being weird.