How would Ossoff and Warnock have done if either were up in 2024?
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  How would Ossoff and Warnock have done if either were up in 2024?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: How would Ossoff and Warnock have done if either were up in 2024?  (Read 552 times)
GAinDC
Junior Chimp
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« on: January 10, 2025, 10:29:12 AM »
My guess is that they would have outrun Harris, but not enough to clear 50%, and there would be a December runoff.

My guess for either scenario:

GOP Candidate: 49.7
Ossoff: 49

Runoff:
GOP candidate: 50.3
Ossoff: 49.7

Or…..

Warnock: 49.5
GOP Candidate: 49.3

Runoff
Warnock: 50.5
GOP Candidate: 49.5
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2025, 07:24:25 PM »
They would be forced into runoffs
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ReaganLimbaugh
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« Reply #2 on: January 26, 2025, 03:12:13 PM »
They would have lost.
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Don't Tread on Me
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« Reply #3 on: January 26, 2025, 03:29:09 PM »
It would be close either way, but I think that whether they'd win would come down to candidate quality.
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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: January 26, 2025, 04:04:44 PM »
Runoffs, and they would lose due to post-election Dem hopelessness.
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Profuturus
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« Reply #5 on: January 26, 2025, 04:17:08 PM »
Ossoff would have won by four, Warnock by 5.5. Republicans have a really low ceiling in Georgia and the swing state Senate results are not encouraging for the GOP.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #6 on: January 26, 2025, 05:24:01 PM »
I agree that it would have gone to a run-off. However, I think with the modern electoral coalitions, Democrats may actually be slightly favored in off-cycle elections such as run-offs.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: January 26, 2025, 06:23:02 PM »
I think Warnock could have won. Ossoff is 50/50.
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Zenobiyl
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« Reply #8 on: January 27, 2025, 12:03:29 AM »
Warnock wins immediately, Ossoff wins in a runoff.
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