🇦🇺 Australian general election (May 3 2025)

[JimJamUK]

If Peter Dutton is elected on day one he'll ban the Aboriginal voiced electorate overviews as woke DEI ABC garbage.

If Dutton had promised to name electorates so you’d actually where they are, we’d be cheering him all the way to victory.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

11 booths have already counted 2cp in Wannon - 7 swung towards Dan Tehan. Alex Dyson might've gone a bit too far left with his campaigning this time.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

If Peter Dutton is elected on day one he'll ban the Aboriginal voiced electorate overviews as woke DEI ABC garbage.

If Dutton had promised to name electorates so you’d actually where they are, we’d be cheering him all the way to victory.

The theoretical rule (though SA is ruining it) is that state electorates should be geographic names, to allow for distinguishing between state and federal electorates.

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

11 booths have already counted 2cp in Wannon - 7 swung towards Dan Tehan.

I'd be slightly surprised if Dyson won. His support base in the electorate feels a bit narrow.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Andrew Constance's primary is on average down 11% in Gilmore with with 16/69 booths in lmaoooo. How does the NSW South Coast always manage to do the opposite of what you expect.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

How long are we gonna spend with this idiot journo standing outside a random pub in eastern Melbourne. We want figures!

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

10.1% counted in Capricornia. 2.8% swing to Labor thus far.

[The '90s' Last Champion]

So the ABC is marking 13 seats called but their map is blank, last election I remember them auto-calling past 10%, but this time it seems not?

[Steve from Lambeth]

"Shameless teals"
Bring the popcorn.

Are the Teals still pestering the LNP about climate change or have they moved on to become generic independents?

[AustralianSwingVoter]

So the ABC is marking 13 seats called but their map is blank, last election I remember them auto-calling past 10%, but this time it seems not?

ABC has two different levels of calls - soft calls go on the bottom ticker but hard calls only happen with 10% counted and human oversight, they go on the map and the website as called.

[#UnbanTender]

We have some results from Dickson and Dutton's chance of getting Carleton'd has increased.

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

The Kingdom of Maranoa is already called as an LNP retain, 17% counted. 2-candidate preferred: about 5% swing towards ONP.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Bean - this is on paper safe too, although this is the Liberals best part (strictly relative as that is) of the ACT. However there is a high-profile Teal running here. While running against a Labor candidate I think would be tougher than running against a Liberal one, the sitting MP is widely seen as a dud and is pretty invisible so Price could get some traction on good government grounds. It certainly seems that Labor are taking the threat seriously. Still would be surprised if Smith loses but it's worth keeping half an eye on especially as the Liberals look like they might collapse in the ACT.

Incredibly good call here morgieb, there was sparse rumours from Bean and I'd written them off as deluded.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

James McGrath is already coping lmao.

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

"Shameless teals"
Bring the popcorn.

Are the Teals still pestering the LNP about climate change or have they moved on to become generic independents?

The Teals seem to still be trying to be "moderates centering on climate change" (to be frank), taken as a whole. But others would probably be better informed here.

[The '90s' Last Champion]

James McGrath is already coping lmao.

I know it's early but some of these seats are getting counted close to 10% now and still showing large swings to Labor. I don't see where the Liberal Party is going to be getting swings needed for them to win.

[JimJamUK]

Something has happened in Bendigo. Nat gain?!

[AustralianSwingVoter]

if anyone wants to understand the Teals - in my seat Sophie Scamps's slogan sums it up

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Dutton's primary vote is down 9% on 9/41 booths, he's in real trouble.

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

Dutton's primary is at barely a third of the vote with 5% counted!

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

"There's nothing particularly good for the Coalition at this stage"
Antony Green

[Talleyrand]

If the ALP numbers in Queensland hold near this level, Albanese needs to mail a bouquet of orchids to David Crisafulli for toppling the unpopular state government.

[icc]

Greens look in big trouble in all three Brisbane seats.

[Torrain]

if anyone wants to understand the Teals - in my seat Sophie Scamps's slogan sums it up

It’s fascinating to see this, given how “2007 UK Tories” it’s all coded. The people yearn for eco-warrior David Cameron.

[The '90s' Last Champion]

The Poll Bludger model has called Dobbell and Shortland for Labor, can't imagine that's good news for the Coalition.