On Election Night 2024, did the FL-SEN results help set the tone for other Senate races nationwide?
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  On Election Night 2024, did the FL-SEN results help set the tone for other Senate races nationwide?
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Author Topic: On Election Night 2024, did the FL-SEN results help set the tone for other Senate races nationwide?  (Read 391 times)
TML
Junior Chimp
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« on: January 04, 2025, 05:59:54 AM »
« edited: January 04, 2025, 06:06:20 AM by TML »

I previously mentioned before Election Day 2024 that IMO, when observing Election Night returns, if Debbie Mucarsel Powell was not performing well in her Senate race, that would imply that Colin Allred, Sherrod Brown, and Jon Tester would also be in trouble. I didn’t closely monitor Election Night returns, but for those of you who did, when you saw the FL-SEN results coming in (specifically, how the race got called for Rick Scott relatively quickly), did you think that result implied that Allred/Brown/Tester would be goners as well?
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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2025, 06:07:09 AM »

Allred wasn't gonna win anyways as I said FL and TX polls overstate D performance in those states. At least we know now and some users think that states like GAS , iAS, and AK S are vulnerable
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2 on: January 04, 2025, 12:32:16 PM »

Not really. Florida is no longer representative of the country as a whole.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2025, 08:42:02 PM »

Not really. Florida is no longer representative of the country as a whole.
It might not be representative of the whole nation I agree with you on that but when you see DMP unperforming in D-Base Counties like Broward, Palm Beach, Orange you can extrapolate that into other States.
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Spectator
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: January 05, 2025, 01:21:59 PM »

No, it was always predictable that Florida would be a double digit R landslide. Only the people living in the past held onto hope it would be close.
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David Hume
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« Reply #5 on: January 05, 2025, 10:14:41 PM »

I previously mentioned before Election Day 2024 that IMO, when observing Election Night returns, if Debbie Mucarsel Powell was not performing well in her Senate race, that would imply that Colin Allred, Sherrod Brown, and Jon Tester would also be in trouble. I didn’t closely monitor Election Night returns, but for those of you who did, when you saw the FL-SEN results coming in (specifically, how the race got called for Rick Scott relatively quickly), did you think that result implied that Allred/Brown/Tester would be goners as well?
I was pretty convinced that Tester and Brown would lose and Cruz would win. The fact that Scott did pretty similar to Trump, as compared to polls that he would significantly under perform Trump, made me feel that R would win more seats in WI MI PA. It's just that I thought WI and MI would be easier to flip than PA, which turned out incorrect.
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Samof94
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: January 09, 2025, 07:04:52 AM »

Kari Lake was a bad candidate again even for a state a different Republican could have won.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #7 on: January 11, 2025, 12:30:31 PM »

Virginia was a much better read of the situation, since Kaine was hardly unpopular, but he wasn't really knocking it out of the park either. Worst Loudon performance since Warner a decade earlier iirc.
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