If Long Island was a state would it have Democratic or Republican senators?

[Tekken_Guy]

If Long Island was a state would it have Democratic or Republican senators?

[RBH]

solid Dem when you remember that Queens and Brooklyn are technically on Long Island

[oldtimer]

The entirety of Long Island or just the non-NYC part ?

In any case I guess Al d'Amato style senators from both parties at various points, depending if they where up on Midterms.

Class III one's would be the most volatile in the modern era.

[Tekken_Guy]

The entirety of Long Island or just the non-NYC part ?

In any case I guess Al d'Amato style senators from both parties at various points, depending if they where up on Midterms.

Class III one's would be the most volatile in the modern era.

Just Nassau and Suffolk.

[He's turned to dust now, one of the chosen few]

Assuming that Brooklyn and Queens aren't included in this state, I feel like it would have one of each, with both being super-entrenched lifers who talk about niche local issues constantly and bring home all the pork they can.

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

Assuming that Brooklyn and Queens aren't included in this state, I feel like it would have one of each, with both being super-entrenched lifers who talk about niche local issues constantly and bring home all the pork they can.

This.

[CentristRepublican]

A Republican Senator from this state would be somehow more likeable than a Democratic Senator

[smoltchanov]

IMHO, probabilities would NOW be following:

Both - 0,6
2 R: 0.25
2 D: 0,15

But it could change depending on "which political problem would be "in focus" at election time"...

[America needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Both would be Republicans, judging by how both Gillibrand and Schumer lost it.

[Reactionary Libertarian]

Both would be Republicans, judging by how both Gillibrand and Schumer lost it.

A Democrat from Long Island wouldn’t be like a Senator from NY though. I think one of each.

[Don't Tread on Me]

Both would be Republicans, judging by how both Gillibrand and Schumer lost it.

LI is more like Delaware than anyone else ideological wise. A fiscally conservative, tough on crime Dem probably should still be able to win it at least for now.

[MarkD]

Most likely there'd be one of each. I think smoltchanov has the probabilities right: about 60% likelihood that LI would elect one of each.

[New World Man]

What if it just had Queens and not Kings County?

[インターネット掲示板ユーザー Punxsutawney Phil]

What if it just had Queens and not Kings County?

It would be stubbornly Dem, but still significantly more R than if it also had Brooklyn. And Rs absolutely could win in state-level elections.
The margin in '88 would be about 100k votes for Bush out of roughly 1.6 million cast (so a margin of about 6%). 1992 this changes to just over 200k for Clinton out of 1.7 million cast (roughly 12%), and in 1996 it gets even better for Clinton: 450k out of 1.6 million cast (around 25%) and even in 2024 the margin for Harris is 75,000 votes (3.5%) out of 2.2 million in total. This is a huge swing from 2020, of course, with out of 2.3 million votes cast, Biden has a plurality of (roughly) 430,000 — pretty much around 20%.

[He's turned to dust now, one of the chosen few]

What if it just had Queens and not Kings County?

Two Dems, but of the "NYC-area Dem everyone hates" variety.

[Samof94]

A DINO and a generic Republican