If Biden stayed in, would Trump have won any of the following states?
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: muon2, GeorgiaModerate, Spiral, 100% pro-life no matter what, Crumpets)
  If Biden stayed in, would Trump have won any of the following states?
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Poll
Question: Select all that apply.
#1
Minnesota
 
#2
New Hampshire
 
#3
New Jersey
 
#4
New Mexico
 
#5
Virginia
 
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Total Voters: 49

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Author Topic: If Biden stayed in, would Trump have won any of the following states?  (Read 514 times)
CatMan21
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« on: November 30, 2024, 12:03:41 AM »

I'm honestly not sure how different the map would've been, but I'm guessing Trump could've flipped possibly New Hampshire and maybe Minnesota.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2024, 12:06:16 AM »

Trump would have won all of them, and I wouldn't even rule out the possibility of a surprise in CT, IL or RI. NY would for sure be in single digits.
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riverwalk7
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« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2024, 12:07:54 AM »

All but MN; Biden collapses disproportionately with Hispanic/Black voters and holds up better with white voters.
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Morgan Kingsley
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« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2024, 03:42:20 AM »

All of the above
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Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
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« Reply #4 on: November 30, 2024, 01:06:01 PM »

Biden would have collapsed even worse with non-whites, but probably holds up the same as Kamala with white voters.

Trump has a decent chance of winning NJ and maybe NM. Virginia comes close, but college whites keep it Dem, and Minnesota becomes like Biden+2 or so.
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It's Time.
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« Reply #5 on: November 30, 2024, 06:18:47 PM »

All except VA, which he holds by a <1% margin
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #6 on: November 30, 2024, 06:22:05 PM »

New Hampshire and Minnesota.

I'm 50/50 on New Mexico.

Maine probably would have been fine, same with New Jersey and Virginia.
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Fuzzy Bear Stands With S019 And Israel
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« Reply #7 on: November 30, 2024, 08:04:07 PM »
« Edited: November 30, 2024, 08:07:28 PM by Fuzzy Bear »

Maybe Virginia and/or New Hampshire.  Trump's chances in these states would have gone up over time as Biden's loss of cognitive functioning became more evident to the average voter.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #8 on: November 30, 2024, 08:11:22 PM »

Maybe New Hampshire and Maine.

Still not entirely convinced Biden would lose The Rust Belt, after all.
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Crane
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« Reply #9 on: November 30, 2024, 08:11:30 PM »

Maybe Virginia and/or New Hampshire.  Trump's chances in these states would have gone up over time as Biden's loss of cognitive functioning became more evident to the average voter.

You're still on this after voting for someone whose empty brain is falling apart in front of the entire country?
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OriAr
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« Reply #10 on: November 30, 2024, 08:17:18 PM »

Maybe NH or MN.
Not convinced at all he does THAT much worse than Harris, certainly not worse enough to lose VA, NJ or NM.
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Compuzled_One
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« Reply #11 on: November 30, 2024, 08:25:12 PM »

All of these.
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