Why did Miller-Meeks almost lose?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 07, 2025, 10:57:57 AM
News: Election Calculator 3.0 with county/house maps is now live. For more info, click here

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Virginiá, KaiserDave)
  Why did Miller-Meeks almost lose?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Why did Miller-Meeks almost lose?  (Read 766 times)
Rhode Islander First, American Second
freethinkingindy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,921
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 24, 2024, 09:19:51 PM »
« edited: November 25, 2024, 06:02:06 PM by Kyrsten Sinema - Liz Cheney 2028 »

IA-01 has overall worse trends for Dems than IA-03 does, and yes MMM won by only 6 votes in 2020 and is a bit of an underperformer, but why? She won against the same opponent by 6.5 points in 2022, so this race wasn't one that was really on my radar as being a serious flip opportunity. I was thinking IA-03 could flip but this one wouldn't be a nailbiter.
Logged
Jumped off the American Sinking Ship
weatherboy1102
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.61, S: -7.83

P

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2024, 09:41:42 PM »

she's the caricature of the PTA mom who has a heart attack at the thought of someone having fun
Logged
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,229


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 25, 2024, 12:45:58 PM »

MMM needed to win so Selzer could lose.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,297
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 25, 2024, 07:00:33 PM »

She just seems to be a weak candidate who has luck at her side in presidential years.
Logged
EastOfEden
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,199


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 27, 2024, 09:13:53 PM »

Weak, was a borderline perennial candidate before 2020. She's gotten lucky. Her 2022 result was because she was lifted by the coattails of general R strength in Iowa that year.
Logged
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,682
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 27, 2024, 09:44:11 PM »

Weak, was a borderline perennial candidate before 2020. She's gotten lucky. Her 2022 result was because she was lifted by the coattails of general R strength in Iowa that year.

Hinson improved on her 2022 result pretty significantly though.
Logged
MargieCat
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,442
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 27, 2024, 11:18:24 PM »

Who could Democrats recruit here in 2026?

Christina Bohannan has ran twice already.

Would Rita Hart be good again?

Any other legislators?
Logged
Tekken_Guy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,682
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 27, 2024, 11:20:19 PM »

Who could Democrats recruit here in 2026?

Christina Bohannan has ran twice already.

Would Rita Hart be good again?

Any other legislators?

Zach Wahls perhaps?
Logged
Spectator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,709
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 27, 2024, 11:25:26 PM »

she's the caricature of the PTA mom who has a heart attack at the thought of someone having fun

Maybe but she’s also pretty moderate as far as congressional Rs go. Maybe it’s Trump voters thinking she’s not Trumpy enough?
Logged
MargieCat
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,442
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 27, 2024, 11:33:02 PM »

Miller-Meeks is 69.

After this term, she will be pension-eligible.

Any chance she just decides to retire and go on her own accord instead of getting beaten?
Logged
CentristRepublican
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 28, 2024, 02:44:06 AM »

Miller-Meeks is 69.

After this term, she will be pension-eligible.

Any chance she just decides to retire and go on her own accord instead of getting beaten?

I could see it…certainly what I would do if I were her. Beats being beaten, as she most likely will be.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,515



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 28, 2024, 02:55:57 AM »

Miller-Meeks is 69.

After this term, she will be pension-eligible.

Any chance she just decides to retire and go on her own accord instead of getting beaten?

A lot of Republican incumbents in competitive districts will be retiring, I could see her being more likely than others to.
Logged
MargieCat
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,442
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 28, 2024, 02:59:46 AM »

Miller-Meeks is 69.

After this term, she will be pension-eligible.

Any chance she just decides to retire and go on her own accord instead of getting beaten?

A lot of Republican incumbents in competitive districts will be retiring, I could see her being more likely than others to.
Who else do you think will retire?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.039 seconds with 9 queries.