Who won Stein 2016 voters?

[Arizona Iced Tea]

--skip--

[Mr. Smith]

Still Stein, same if you raise this question for Stein 2012.

[Eraserhead]

I don't know but I voted for her in 2016 and voted for Harris this year. 

[He's turned to dust now, one of the chosen few]

100% still Stein, but I can imagine a decent chunk of Stein 2016 voters falling into the Trump world via RFK Jr. Thought.

[The Mikado]

Tough one. Probably Stein but only plurality Stein, with a large chunk to Harris, a smaller but real chunk to Trump, and a very large share not voting.

Stein only got a bit over half as many votes as she did in 2016 and a large number of those votes were new (Arab-American support she didn't have in 2016) so you can't even treat Stein 2024 as a direct subset of Stein 2016 given some people are coming in while a lot are going out.

[MichaelM24]

I was a Stein voter in 2016 and voted for Claudia De la Cruz this election. True, Stein wasn't an option in Indiana, whereas De la Cruz had certified write-in access, but if both had been options, I think I probably would have still voted De la Cruz.

Tough call, though.

[MaynardFriedman]

Kamala Harris

The overlap between Stein 2024 and Stein 2016 voters isn’t that big. There was significant support for Jill Stein among left-liberal boomers in 2016. She received 4% in San Juan County, 6% in Humboldt County, 5.5% in Mendocino County, 3% in Multnomah County, 3% in Lane County - these places are the folkways of traditional support for Greens, which has always come from boomers. This time, Stein received very pathetic levels of support. Boomer left-liberals would vote for Dick Cheney against Trump.

Another way of putting this: in 2016, you could still find lots of anti-establishment sentiment coming from elderly or near elderly former hippies. It’s all gone now, replaced by an intense fear of Donald Trump and which is also reflected in the tone of the progressive programs they listen to.