Largest city in each state that Trump won
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: muon2, GeorgiaModerate, Spiral, 100% pro-life no matter what, Crumpets)
  Largest city in each state that Trump won
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Author Topic: Largest city in each state that Trump won  (Read 1012 times)
Rhode Islander First, American Second
freethinkingindy
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« Reply #25 on: November 24, 2024, 10:33:25 PM »

Vermont: Swanton
Maine: Standish
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #26 on: November 24, 2024, 11:08:17 PM »
« Edited: November 24, 2024, 11:11:22 PM by 100% pro-life no matter what »

AZ: Mesa
CA: Bakersfield
CT: Bristol
FL: Jacksonville
ID: Meridian
MD: Westminster
MA: Fall River
MI: Sterling Heights
MT: Billings
NV: Henderson
NJ: Lakewood
NH: Derry
OK: Oklahoma City
PA: Bensalem
RI: Woonsocket
TX: Lubbock
VA: Lynchburg
WI: Waukesha

Trump won Jacksonville...what were the numbers???

Feel free to add more states or correct any of these.

I thought Jacksonville and Duval County were consolidated.
Duval is slightly larger than Jacksonville. Hillary won Jacksonville narrowly while losing Duval by a nearly identical margin as Harris did.

It's a semantic question.  The city and county are consolidated, but there are some municipalities that simultaneously exist.  Someone in Jacksonville Beach could vote for the mayor of both Jacksonville and Jacksonville Beach.

It's the same way in Nashville and Davidson County.  For Tennessee, the answer is almost likely Clarksville, though Murfreesboro probably did so by a slightly larger margin (and is just behind it in population).  I doubt Trump won Knoxville, but it's worth confirming when precinct results come out.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #27 on: November 24, 2024, 11:13:47 PM »

I expect Corpus Christi to have voted for Trump given the Nueces County margin, and Arlington, TX might have. Not sure what the most efficient way to calculate the city totals is.

Corpus voted for Trump in 2020 as well so it obviously voted for Trump this year.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #28 on: November 24, 2024, 11:28:42 PM »

Props for Rolls for starting this thread, just like he did in 2020 for anybody looking for context,

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=411611.msg7750353#msg7750353

Back in '16 NC Lib did a similar thread:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=272471.msg5816898#msg5816898

Personally my pref is to wait until all the votes come in and certified, and everyone can drill down to precinct and ward levels, etc... but still I would most of New England should be available by now considering towns and all that...

So anybody got any actual results and link to sources are we just all in the guessing game?
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #29 on: November 24, 2024, 11:33:50 PM »

I doubt Trump won Knoxville, but it's worth confirming when precinct results come out.

Knoxville was Biden +16, so I highly doubt it flipped even with an eye-popping swing.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #30 on: November 24, 2024, 11:44:53 PM »

I doubt Trump won Knoxville, but it's worth confirming when precinct results come out.

Knoxville was Biden +16, so I highly doubt it flipped even with an eye-popping swing.

Knox County only swung about 4 points right, so it seems very unlikely that Trump won Knoxville.

Did he win Murfreesboro?
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #31 on: November 25, 2024, 09:51:38 AM »

I doubt Trump won Knoxville, but it's worth confirming when precinct results come out.

Knoxville was Biden +16, so I highly doubt it flipped even with an eye-popping swing.

Knox County only swung about 4 points right, so it seems very unlikely that Trump won Knoxville.

Did he win Murfreesboro?

Murfreesboro was Trump 2020 +8, so I give it about a 99.99% chance of being Trump 2024.
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Lykaon
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« Reply #32 on: November 25, 2024, 10:17:23 AM »

ME: Standish
VT: Swanton
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #33 on: November 25, 2024, 10:23:27 AM »

Louisiana would be Lafayette (pop. 121k, 65-33 Trump).
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Coconut Decider
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« Reply #34 on: November 25, 2024, 01:31:45 PM »

Curious what the answer is for Georgia.  Maybe Gainesville?

As the other guy said, Newnan is probably the best bet. However, there is outside possibilities of it being Warner Robbins (Biden +1.2, but Houston swung left by a point this year) or Alpharetta (Biden+5.7 but definitely swung right this year.)
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #35 on: November 28, 2024, 12:38:57 AM »

I am somewhat confident that in Oregon it will once again be Medford.

Still awaiting precinct results from Jackson County , but difficult to see anything otherwise unless there was a huge drop-off of DEM votes from Ashland.

Sure I could see a scenario where DEMs gained in East Medford in some of the more Upper-Middle Class Neighborhoods plus some Senior retirement centers, but strongly suspect that they took a hit in many of the trad solid DEM inner precincts of West Medford.

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« Reply #36 on: November 28, 2024, 02:33:43 AM »


The answer for Maine has changed - it is now Sanford, which flipped last minute.
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cg41386
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« Reply #37 on: November 28, 2024, 07:31:21 PM »


Dundalk is unincorporated. The answer is probably Westminster.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #38 on: November 28, 2024, 07:45:26 PM »


Dundalk is unincorporated. The answer is probably Westminster.

Yeah, but there are so many CDPs in Maryland that excluding them from a list of "cities" is completely arbitrary. Same goes for Delaware, Virginia, Louisiana, and Florida, all of which are also CDP-happy.
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Wormless Gourd
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« Reply #39 on: November 29, 2024, 05:20:35 PM »

Hawaii: Ewa Gentry(pop 25k, 10th largest in the state), which was Biden +2.8, now Trump +6.
He was 12 votes shy from flipping the 5th largest town in HI, Waipahu.

Source: User-uploaded HI 2024 dataset on DRA, so grain of salt if there's some differences when DRA officially publishes the data.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #40 on: November 29, 2024, 05:39:22 PM »

Minnesota is Lakeville (Pop 75K, Trump +0.4%). Actually swung left from 2020 (Trump+1.0%).
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