Why did Smith do better than Buckhout in NC-01 (adjusted for boundaries)?
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  Why did Smith do better than Buckhout in NC-01 (adjusted for boundaries)?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Why did Smith do better than Buckhout in NC-01 (adjusted for boundaries)?  (Read 199 times)
riverwalk7
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« on: November 23, 2024, 06:59:10 PM »
Sandy Smith probably would've won in 2022 under current boundaries of NC-01, while Buckhout lost by 1.6% in 2024. I thought Smith was generally considered crazy.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2024, 07:05:23 PM »
Because Davis was an incumbent who is also perceived as a moderate for publicly breaking with Dems on many key votes.

There's an argument that Robinson had an effect, but I doubt it. The Governor's race is below the House races in North Carolina, so there wouldn't be any direct dropoff effect from that.
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Virginiapol
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« Reply #2 on: November 23, 2024, 08:06:55 PM »
Quote from: riverwalk7 on November 23, 2024, 06:59:10 PM
Sandy Smith probably would've won in 2022 under current boundaries of NC-01, while Buckhout lost by 1.6% in 2024. I thought Smith was generally considered crazy.
Black turnout in NC was much better in 2024 than in 2022.
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