How long would Ron Kind last in congress had he never retired?

[Tekken_Guy]

How long would Ron Kind last in congress had he never retired?

[It's Time.]

He would win both, Van Orden is a terrible candidate and his seat should be a top Dem target in 2026

[Progressive Pessimist]

He'd hold the seat in both 2022 and 2024. He shouldn't have retired, or instead ran against Johnson.

[CentristRepublican]

He would win both, Van Orden is a terrible candidate and his seat should be a top Dem target in 2026

Yeah van Orden had a weak performance this year too, winning by 3 points in a district Trump likely won by about 7ish. He is like Wisconsin's MMM.

I think Kind would pull through in both 2022 AND 2024 if the GOP nominated van Orden both times. But that's a big if - I'm thinking they may move on to another candidate in 2024 if van Orden were to lose twice. (Depending on who they nominated, Kind may well go down in 2024.) Then again, Iowa Republicans gave MMM a fourth go at it, so idk.

[CentristRepublican]

He'd hold the seat in both 2022 and 2024. He shouldn't have retired, or instead ran against Johnson.

I agree with the latter. Given that we came within a point of taking Johnson out with a pretty mediocre and underfunded candidate, really seems like Kind (and WI Dems) stood on business.

Same could be said of WI Repubs this year, tbh - who even was Hovde? I bet they're kicking themselves right now for not nominating a less crappy candidate (Gallagher or Steil would have toppled Baldwin).

[Spectator]

He would've won both, and he would've beat Johnson for Senate in 2022. I understand why he thought he likely would've lost in 2022, though.

[New World Man]

He beats Van Orden in 2022. Think the R's run Sen.Pat Testin of Stevens Point in 2024.

[America needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Loses in 2022

He'd hold the seat in both 2022 and 2024. He shouldn't have retired, or instead ran against Johnson.

Johnson would have beaten Kind by more than he beat Barnes.

[Mr. Smith]

He's gone in 2024, after holding on in 2022.

[Spectator]

Just dawned on me that Van Orden won by both a smaller percentage and raw vote margin than he did in 2022. Don’t see how his seat doesn’t start as a tossup for ‘26.

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

He'd have been the last of his Kind.

[New World Man]

Just dawned on me that Van Orden won by both a smaller percentage and raw vote margin than he did in 2022. Don’t see how his seat doesn’t start as a tossup for ‘26.

The 3rd is the epitome of a place loaded with Trump only voters. Also,the district still has a really strong Democratic base in Eau Claire and LaCrosse. Plus smaller college towns(River Falls,Menomonie,Platteville,Stevens Point.

[lfromnj]

Just dawned on me that Van Orden won by both a smaller percentage and raw vote margin than he did in 2022. Don’t see how his seat doesn’t start as a tossup for ‘26.

The 3rd is the epitome of a place loaded with Trump only voters. Also,the district still has a really strong Democratic base in Eau Claire and LaCrosse. Plus smaller college towns(River Falls,Menomonie,Platteville,Stevens Point.

Interestingly people said in 2020 that the colleges being remote made the district swing R . Turns out Trump actually won the La Crosse campus !

[New World Man]

Cooke,like Brad Pfaff,was badly outspent. That was a big difference. They actually wasted money trying to beat Steil in CD 1.

[here2view]

He'd still be in Congress.

[EastOfEden]

Would have won in both 2022 and 2024 if he had stayed in the House, would have beaten Ron Johnson in 2022 if he had run for Senate.