Call the last 3 House races

[Vosem]

Miller-Meeks has pretty clearly won absent some kind of counting error. It's close enough that that's not out of the question, but it's closer to Safe R than Likely.

Tran seems pretty clearly favored against Steel; he hasn't lost a vote drop since Election Night and it seems like there's still 2,000 regular votes or something. Apparently there are reasons to think what's out isn't as good for him as what's in, but I'd still put him at Likely D, though closer to Leans than Safe.

Duarte/Gray feels like it's headed for almost an exact tie; extrapolating out 2022 patterns you come out to a Duarte victory by a double-digit number of votes. I think I would very slightly rather be Duarte, and I voted for him in the poll, but this is about as close as it gets. (Incidentally, while Duarte's win looked like one of the most impressive Republican gains in 2022 -- this seat was Biden+13 and I think the most pro-Biden seat to flip red outside NY -- Gray's victory in 2024, if it comes to pass, would I think be the only Democratic gain in a Trump '24 seat. Steel I think is fighting for survival in a seat that voted for Harris).

Is it confirmed that CA-13 flipped to Trump or is that your estimation?

Not confirmed, but given the county swings in that area it's tough to imagine Harris having won it. The Tran/Steel seat is my estimation but I think Harris held it.

[Linda Van der Hampel]

As per Iowa Secretary of State, all counties have certified their results, with Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) ahead by 801.

The AP is still refusing to call it.

Any reason why?

[Steve from Lambeth]

...Miller-Meeks wins.

This is quite honestly the most bizarre prediction you have ever made

[°Leprechaun: I have voted 5/20]

Will we know the results of all three before January?

[°Leprechaun: I have voted 5/20]

Currently it looks like the House is 220-214 with CA 13 still undecided. There are going to be a small number of resignations, including Gaetz. It won't be enough for Democrats to take back control, but the GOP has a net loss of at least one seat.
Will the GOP have any problems with an even smaller majority?

[Frodo]

Currently it looks like the House is 220-214 with CA 13 still undecided. There are going to be a small number of resignations, including Gaetz. It won't be enough for Democrats to take back control, but the GOP has a net loss of at least one seat.
Will the GOP have any problems with an even smaller majority?

Is this a rhetorical question?